Predict the Games

These are only my guesses, but now is as good a time as any to make them. Remember, these are predictions, not hopes or best case scenarios. I wouldn’t be shocked by anything between 4 and 7 regular season wins. Feel free to add your own in the comments.

Game 1: vs. Central Florida (Win; 75% confidence) – This game scares the hell out of me. UCF has a good coach, and they are a veteran team coming off a very disappointing season. O’Leary would love to beat an ACC team, and his kids will be loaded for bear. I just don’t see Tom O’Brien losing his first game as head coach.

Game 2: at Boston College (Loss; 85% confidence) – I really wanted to pick a win here, but that’s not logical (just an emotional reaction to BC fan smack-talk in the offseason). BC returns more starters than we do, and was significantly better than us last year (despite the somewhat fluky loss head-to-head). I don’t like the scrimmage reports on our QB situation, and an early road game will likely exacerbate that problem. Enjoy your gloating, Eagle fans – it will be clear after 3 seasons who won this particular coaching shuffle.

Game 3: vs. Wofford (Win; 99% confidence) – We may not be good this year, but we won’t lose to Wofford. Even under Amato, I would feel good about that (he probably would have gone 2-10, beating Wofford and FSU).

Game 4: vs. Clemson (Loss; 70% confidence) – The Tiggers should be able to dominate the Pack physically (and run hog wild against our LBs), but their coach is one of two Bowdens on the hot seat, and a complete team meltdown is not out of the question.

Game 5: vs. Louisville (Loss; 80% confidence) – Louisville might be the best opponent on NC State’s schedule, but we’ll see how much they miss Bobby Petrino. I like our chances for a huge upset if this is a night game.

Game 6: at Florida State (Loss; 90% confidence) – Again, we should be dominated physically, and our non-existent depth should be giving us trouble against deep, athletic teams by this point in the season. To borrow from my BC thoughts – enjoy your gloating, few remaining members of the “Cult of Chuck” – it will be clear after 3 seasons who won this particular coaching shuffle.

Game 7: at East Carolina (Win; 55% confidence) – Here is the game where I believe Coach O’Brien will get us a win we wouldn’t have been able to achieve without him. With an off week to get healthy and prepare, I expect the Wolfpack to do some riot prevention against the Pirates. You’re welcome, Greenville Police Department.

Game 8: vs. Virginia (Win; 60% confidence) – I expect the Cavs to be in full free-fall mode at this point, as Al Groh prepares for the firing squad. It would be much better for the game to be a week later (UVA historically sucks in November), but late October will have to do. Should be nice weather for this game, so allow for extra tailgating time.

Game 9: at Miami (Loss; 85% confidence) – This is pretty much a repeat of the FSU prediction, but the Canes are slightly less imposing physically (and sans the Amato drama).

Game 10: vs. UNC (Win; 95% confidence) – Because TOB promised us. And the alternative is unthinkable.

Game 11: at Wake Forest (Loss; 80% confidence) – Many people will predict a win here, and I agree that the Deacs won’t likely repeat their stirring title run. However, their rushing attack is a particularly bad matchup for our linebacking corps.

Game 12: vs. Maryland (Loss; 55% confidence) – I think the Pack comes very, very close to winning this game and attaining bowl eligibility, but falls just short. A lack of depth catches up with you at season’s end, and we will be coming off a bruising, physical game against Wake. The timing absolutely sucks for us.

Predicted Record: 5-7 (2-6); Mathematical Median: 5.39 wins

BJD95, on the record.

About BJD95

1995 NC State graduate, sufferer of Les and MOC during my entire student tenure. An equal-opportunity objective critic and analyst of Wolfpack sports.

'07 Football General NCS Football On the Record Tom O'Brien

129 Responses to Predict the Games

  1. GAWolf 08/16/2007 at 4:55 PM #

    ^ Yikes. Never thought of it that way, but that’s very sadly true.

  2. redfred2 08/16/2007 at 6:49 PM #

    psps23, I’m just hoping that those two talented running “B’s” get the help they need to perform like they are capable of. It would be great to have a legitimate running game. That would definitely help the QB situation more than anything we could ask for.

  3. john of sparta 08/16/2007 at 7:28 PM #

    2 upset wins and 2 upset losses:
    wins: EZU/Wake
    loss: CFU/Holes

    based upon posts: bet heavy on CFU straight up. $1 gets you $8.
    Pack win=happy. Pack loss=rich.

    best game: Holes @ Home if there’s no Hurricane.

  4. packfanstk 08/18/2007 at 3:00 PM #

    UCF: Win, but we’ll trail into the fourth quarter.

    BC: Loss, but we’ll lead into the fourth quarter.

    Wofford: Not close. Big W.

    Clemson: Win. TOB seems to have Tammy’s number.

    Louisville: Loss. I wish I could say win, because we owe these guys a thrashing for taking so dang long to return the visit to C-F…and for steadfastly refusing to do it as long as Philip Rivers was QB. L’ville is a POS school.

    FSU: Loss. Chuck Amato is back in his element. This won’t be pretty.

    ECU: Win. Enough said.

    UVa: Win. I hope TOB NEVER forgets Brad Butler’s cheap shot on Mathias Kiwanuka and the puny wrist slap Groh and UVa gave him.

    Miami: Loss. TOB has never beaten them. Why should he start now?

    Wake: Loss. Wake won’t sneak up on anybody this year. But they won’t have to. They’re genuinely good…maybe even better than last year.

    UNC-CH: Win. As BJD95 said, the alternative is unthinkable.

    Maryland: TOB is 2-0 vs. the Terps. Fridge is 4-2 vs. NC State. It will be Maryland’s third road game in four weeks. Pack wins a squeaker.

    Final Record 7-4, 4-4. Muffler Bowl.
    Orange: VaTech (7-1).
    Chick-Fil-A: FSU (6-2).
    Gator: GaTech (7-1).
    Champs: Wake Forest (5-3).
    Muffler: NC State (4-4).
    Music City: Miami (4-4).
    Boise: Maryland (4-4).
    Emerald: Clemson (3-5).

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