Lowe’s NC State: The Best Squad with the Worst Team

I have been making this observation for a while, but just recently decided it was appropriate to publically hash out. For some time I have been convinced that NC State is actually a much better ball club than what it appears to be. As a baseline, I am going to compare NC State to rivals UNC and DUKE.

Sidenote: the definition of synergy is getting a collection of individuals and putting them together so that what they can accomplish, as a unit, is greater than the sum of their parts.  In other words, by gathering 1 and 1 and 1 and 1 together, rather than it being 4, it becomes 6 because there is synergy increasing the work between the individuals.  Just hang onto that definition until the end of this article.

Generally, what I see when NC State attacks the rim is a drive towards the basket, then a stall.  Luckily, NC State has been able to utilize big men like Leslie and Howell on the inside to avoid embarrassments against powder-puff opponents like Wake Forest (God bless ‘em, they’re trying… I think).  Unfortunately, it takes more than a couple big players to dominate the inside of the rim and fight for baskets.  The only time we shoot from the field is if there is an open shot due to the opponents lining up poorly, or if the ball hasn’t gone under the basket yet.  So what is the apparent problem with NC State?  Simple: we don’t look for opportunities, we force them.

Case-in-point, look at our team statistics on assists.  Our guards, Brown, Harrow, and Gonzalez, are averaging 3.2, 3.5, and 2.0 assists per game (APG), respectively.  Note that Brown and Harrow both have over 3.0 APG while Javi is coming in right at 2.0 APG. Carolina’s guards, Drew, Marshall, and Strickland, are averaging 4.6, 3.6, and 1.7 APG respectively. Marshall and Strickland both average much better on assists than Brown and Harrow, but their points per game (PPG) are significantly lower than NC State’s top two guards.  In total, Harrow and Brown are scoring around 20 PPG while Carolina’s equivalent two guards are scoring barely above 8.5 PPG.  Conclusion?  Our guards are very talented, but we aren’t getting the ball around enough.  Guards have to be able to feed shots and teammates have to run routes that create opportunities.  What we see in Carolina is that they have been able to use their guards to not just knock off shots, but move the ball to where it is needed and create the opportunity when necessary. This kind of team mentality can only be accomplished by a competant off-court coach that instills a concept of synergy amongst his players so that they can accomplish more than what their individual parts add up to.

What I am trying to statistically show is that NC State runs a type of ball game that relies on the sheer talent of the players on our squad rather than sound fundamental team-play.  So, is this even necessarily a problem?  In theory, this system would work if your squad had overwhelming talent, and I would suggest that NC State is starting to get to that point with respect to talent, alone.  Well, that is where I wanted to bring DUKE into this equation (mainly because we can all agree DUKE is an incredibly scary team).  DUKE’s top two guards, Smith and Irving, are averaging 5.6 and 5.1 APG respectively.  That’s just scary-good.  So, if it’s just the “style” we play, I would assume to see a similar effect with Duke’s guard statistics: high assists, but low PPG.  Smith and Irving average 37.4 PPG, combined.  Wow.  So excluding the fact that DUKE’s talent alone raises the expectations for PPG on guards, what would explain their guard’s high level of assists and high scoring games?  Simple: DUKE creates synergies between their guards and the rest of the team. Coach K has created a team atmosphere where players understand that they are to make opportunities happen, but also acknowledge when the opportunity is no longer there.  This allows their team to take smarter shots, which leads to less missed shots, which leads to more PPG.  That’s how synergy between players works.  That’s how teams are built.

So here is what I’m suggesting: our players are not bad players.  Their numbers are impressive and comparable to others in the top of the conference (not just rivals UNC and DUKE).  Execution on a player level is not necessarily the biggest problem. The problem is that there is a noticeable lack in fundamental team play at NC State and a glaring lack of synergies between guard-play and the rest of the team.  NC State resembles a group of And 1 players that refuse to give up on a drive even if its hopeless.  If you have any doubts of this, then just watch this weekend’s game against UNC.  I would be willing to promise that what we will see is an NC State team that either moves the ball around the perimeter and takes a jumper or rushes to the rim without ever considering kicking the ball back out for an open shot.  No communication.  No synergy.  No team.

This is Lowe’s NC State.  We have the talent.  We have the tradition.  We have the fan support.  We have the unversity support.  We have the money and we have the facilities.  We have the hype and the motivated players we need, eager for blood.  We we do not have is a team.  NC State: the best squad of players with the worst team.

About NCStatePride

***ABOUT THE AUTHOR: NCStatePride has been writing for StateFansNation.com since 2010 and is a 2009 graduate of the College of Engineering.

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55 Responses to Lowe’s NC State: The Best Squad with the Worst Team

  1. 61Packer 01/27/2011 at 11:55 AM #

    UNC isn’t a good team this season, but they’re way better than last season, when they were BAD. But that didn’t keep them from bouncing us twice.

    And daddy’s home this coming Saturday.

  2. PackHooligan 01/27/2011 at 1:18 PM #

    I agree that too often it seems like the offense has no plan B. I think using raw, per game numbers can be a little misleading, especially when comparing teams with vastly different paces like NCSU and UNC.

    I like to look at if the right people are taking the shots. If you look at KenPom’s scouting report for State, when Harrow is on the floor he is taking the same percentage of the shots (27%) that Tracy is, and Leslie is right behind them at 25%. This means that 2 of our poorer shooters this season are also 2 of the players taking the most shots. Meanwhile a guy like Wood is only shooting 17% of the possessions when he is on the floor. Stats like these lead me to believe that these guys are not being coached correctly to A)recognize their roles and/or B)execute an offense that gives State the best chance to score.

    Having said that, if you just go by offensive efficiency, I think we rank 5th in the ACC (and tied with UNC). Of course those numbers are based on the full season and not just conference schedule so OOC SOS should be noted. I still contend the biggest limitation with this team is not offense but the inability to play defense. Lowe’s teams have never shown the type of team defensive strategy or intensity to compete at a high level.

  3. wufpup76 01/27/2011 at 2:16 PM #

    Not much more can be said – the article and comments say it all.

    Nice job.

  4. Ismael 01/27/2011 at 4:43 PM #

    I agree with the article but I think its missing one thing, the fact that we have shown stretches/periods of dominance that involves all the things the author believes we fundamentally lack and i agree we lack them. I just think its slightly more nuanced. I just see it as a lack of the synergy for 40 whole minutes or periods where the players must be simply assuming the game is won and they can coast on out.

    I’d also argue that last year’s team often played “up to their potential” for 35 and sometimes 40 min a game but didn’t necessarily have the results to show for it. I don’t want to say we are being too hard, because after 5 years you have to either you-know-what or get off the pot, but it wouldn’t surprise me if by the end of the year (when its too late) we’ll be playing much better. The guys we are relyin on a lot are still freshman. However, I think the ship has sailed though on our coach regardless

  5. bms 01/27/2011 at 4:59 PM #

    How come Duke is in all caps?

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