Preview: NC State vs Virginia

After beating NCCU Saturday, the Wolfpack go on the road Wednesday evening to Charlottesville, Va. to take on the surprising Cavaliers, who moved to 4-2 in the ACC by defeating UNC Sunday. Virginia dominated the Heels from start to finish in Chapel Hill Sunday evening, shooting almost 52 percent from the field while holding the Tar Heels to 35 percent shooting and forcing 17 turnovers. Sylven Landesberg, who is fast emerging as the most complete offensive player in the conference, torched the Heels for 29 points on 11-19 shooting. In Virginia’s 70-62 victory over NC State Jan. 9, Landesberg went for 23.

NC State may have to get creative on the defensive end Wednesday to try and shut down Landesberg. During Sidney Lowe’s radio show Monday evening a caller asked the coach if he would employ different “junk” defenses like the box-and-1 to try and slow down Landseberg.

“I tell you what you’re a pretty good thinker,” Lowe chuckled in response to the question. “Yeah he’s such a tough player, we’re going to have to look at doing a few things. Certainly good solid man-to-man, but more importantly we have to be good with our help defense.”

On another side note, Lowe has not yet decided whether Javi Gonzalez will be in the starting lineup Wednesday. Gonzalez did not start against NCCU because he broke a team rule prior to the game.

NC State Travels to Virginia: After downing non-conference foe NC Central, 77-42, over the
weekend, the Pack returns to ACC play and heads to Virginia for a Wednesday night affair.
The Pack is 1-2 on the road in conference play this season, winning at No. 25 Florida State,
and NC State will be playing three of the next four games on the road.
Virginia won the season’s first matchup between the two teams, as the Cavs won in Ra-
leigh on January 9, 70-62.
The game will be broadcasted on ESPNU with Dan McLaughlin and Tim Welsh.
The Series Versus Virginia: NC State holds an 80-55 advantage in the all-time series with
Virginia, which dates back to the 1912-13 season. The Pack holds a 38-18 advantage in
games in Raleigh and 19-2 edge at neutral sites, but Virginia holds a 35-23 mark in games in
Charlottesville. This is the first time since 2006-07 the teams are meeting twice in a season.
NC State has won three of its last six trips to Virginia, but is 0-2 all-time at the John Paul
Jones Arena. Virginia has won the last two, 67-62 in 2007 and 78-60 in 2008.
Earlier This Season Against Virginia: NC State lost a 10-point second-half lead, as Virginia
downed the Pack, 70-62, in the ACC opener at the RBC Center on January 9. NC State closed the first
half on a 16-6 run, and opened the second half on a 12-6 run to grab a double digit lead of 42-32 at the
13:31 mark. After a charging cal on the Pack at 11:20, Virginia would go on a 13-3 run and capture its
first lead of the second half at 49-48 with 6:17 left. Virginia closed the game by making 17 straight free
throws, and went 19-of-20 for the game, and the Pack made just 16-of-26 attempts. Tracy Smith led the
Pack with 18 points and nine rebounds, while Dennis Horner added 12 points.

NC State Travels to Virginia

After downing non-conference foe NC Central, 77-42, over the weekend, the Pack returns to ACC play and heads to Virginia for a Wednesday night affair. The Pack is 1-2 on the road in conference play this season, winning at No. 25 Florida State, and NC State will be playing three of the next four games on the road. Virginia won the season’s first match up between the two teams, as the Cavs won in Raleigh on January 9, 70-62. The game will be broadcasted on ESPNU with Dan McLaughlin and Tim Welsh.

The Series Versus Virginia

NC State holds an 80-55 advantage in the all-time series with Virginia, which dates back to the 1912-13 season. The Pack holds a 38-18 advantage in games in Raleigh and 19-2 edge at neutral sites, but Virginia holds a 35-23 mark in games in Charlottesville. This is the first time since 2006-07 the teams are meeting twice in a season. NC State has won three of its last six trips to Virginia, but is 0-2 all-time at the John Paul Jones Arena. Virginia has won the last two, 67-62 in 2007 and 78-60 in 2008.

Earlier This Season Against Virginia

NC State lost a 10-point second-half lead, as Virginia downed the Pack, 70-62, in the ACC opener at the RBC Center on January 9. NC State closed the first half on a 16-6 run, and opened the second half on a 12-6 run to grab a double digit lead of 42-32 at the 13:31 mark. After a charging cal on the Pack at 11:20, Virginia would go on a 13-3 run and capture its first lead of the second half at 49-48 with 6:17 left. Virginia closed the game by making 17 straight free throws, and went 19-of-20 for the game, and the Pack made just 16-of-26 attempts. Tracy Smith led the Pack with 18 points and nine rebounds, while Dennis Horner added 12 points.

Tony Haynes put together a nice preview of tomorrow’s match up.

Sure NC State lost to Florida on a shocking 70-foot heave by Chandler Parsons, and sure the Wolfpack also fell at Arizona on a runner at the buzzer by Nic Wise. But of all the close defeats suffered by the Pack this season, the one that might have stuck in coach Sidney Lowe’s craw the most was a 70-62 lost to Virginia back on January 9th.

Building a 10-point lead by the midway point of the second half, NC State had several opportunities to put the Cavaliers on life support simply by knocking down some free throws.

But it didn’t work out that way.

Emboldened by the Wolfpack’s futility at the line in the final 10 minutes, Virginia – led by star Sylven Landesberg (23 points) and center Mike Scott (14) – stormed back to post an eight-point win.

And while NC State was missing 10-of-26 tries from the charity stripe, the Cavaliers knocked down 19-of-20, including 17 in a row down the stretch to ice it.

Unfortunately there will be no live blog tomorrow due to work schedules, but we will have an open post for you all to comment on during the game. Stay tuned.

09-10 Basketball Sidney Lowe

53 Responses to Preview: NC State vs Virginia

  1. whope90 02/02/2010 at 6:26 PM #

    I would hope that this would a revenge game! But el sid does not beleive in revenge games only in making sure his teams can make shots! This will get ugly in a hurry and state with the basic set offense with no motion will get swarmed and lose. I just hope it is not to bad on the solid young guns we have( wood,smith,howell(will el sid wake up and let him start over horner)?

    Then we look forward to another road trip to gtech and an atheltic beating
    by another player we could not get(favors). We need to ask a favor from gtech and not let ryan h see the game on local tv.

    And the magic number for wins to the nit, is that what we are down to, hope for the NIT? Then the basketball climate has definately changed to dispare? Seems the only way now that state will make the ncaa’s again is if the seedings increase to 31 more teams! Would the NIT survive?

  2. whope90 02/02/2010 at 6:28 PM #

    Preditction, UVA by 10-15 pt margin and Smith to have a good game and Javi G to be benched to rule violation. WEll,baseball is in three weeks, lets hope for that!

  3. PoppaJohn 02/02/2010 at 6:46 PM #

    VA is playing really, really well. Not expecting much worth watching this week. It’s not unreasonable to think that other than Miami on the 27th, we may not win in February.

    9 games left, 10 counting the ACCT. I’m betting we finish the season 16-15, meaning 2 wins (Miami & BC???) and a cup of coffee in the ACCT. Hope I’m wrong. (in a good way)

  4. wolfonthehill 02/02/2010 at 7:14 PM #

    ^ Wow – that’s sobering. The potential for an 0-for-February?

    Not saying you’re wrong – it’s possible – but… well… dayum.

  5. JeremyH 02/02/2010 at 8:12 PM #

    this means we’re due for an “up” game. i can just see it now: we will win, state fans will start looking at the schedule and brackets again, … it will just get ugly.

  6. MA Wolfpack 02/02/2010 at 8:22 PM #

    This is a huge game for us. NCSU will find itself in decent shape if it can get out of this week at 3-6 in conference. If we can stop Landesburg, then we will win this game b/c UVA does not have many other scorers. With that said, he’s much, much better than anyone we have.

  7. D_Medlin 02/02/2010 at 8:30 PM #

    Mike Scott can score when he’s on. Not saying he will tomorrow, but NC State can’t ignore him just to shut down Landesberg.

    Also, the Wolfpack need to be aware of Sammy Zeglinski. He’s a streaky scorer who hit 5 three-pointers against the Heels. He’ll come in confident tomorrow.

  8. pnasty21 02/02/2010 at 8:58 PM #

    @whope90 about your NIT statement. The NCAA’s contract with the NIT ends the same year with their CBS contract so the Big Dance will include the 31 teams that would enter the NIT. this is in effect for the 2010-2011 season

    so i guess see ya, NIT?

    I think we matchup pretty good vs. them. it should be a good game to watch and hopefully we can sink your free throws. As bad as this sounds, I think that 2nd half surge vs. NCCU really gave us some momentum.

  9. Rochester 02/02/2010 at 9:10 PM #

    Do other teams have letdown games after a big win, or just us? If so, maybe UVa is due for a slip. Of course, if we made our free throws in the first game we might have won that one, so it’s not like they totally outplayed us. We just blew it late after holding a sizable lead (sound familiar?).

  10. choppack1 02/02/2010 at 9:21 PM #

    Rochester – I think we have a good chance at shocking UVa.

    Our game against them shows that we certainly had the talent to beat them.

    3-5 at the midway point wouldn’t be bad for this team. It’s not good or anything, but it would be something we could build on.

  11. leewolf 02/02/2010 at 9:54 PM #

    I feel surprisingly good about this game and I’m not sure why. We’ll see what happens.

    During the Sidney Lowe era, the Pack is 4-11 in the second game v. an ACC opponent in a season:

    Wins: VT, Wake in ’06/’07; None in ’07/’08; @ GT, BC in ’08/’09
    Losses: UVA, @ UNC, @ UMD in ’06/’07; UNC, Clemson, @ Wake, Duke, FSU in ’07/’08; @ UNC, @ Miami, @ Wake in ’08/’09

    When we faced the opponent at home the first and then went on the road:

    ’06/’07
    W v. UNC 83-79, L @ UNC 64-83
    L v. UMD 70-85, L @ UMD 59-79
    ’07/’08
    W v. Wake 67-65, L @ Wake 67-78
    ’08/’09
    L v. UNC 76-93, L @ UNC 80-89
    W v. GT 76-71 OT, W @ GT 86-65
    W v. Miami 84-81 OT, L @ Miami 64-72
    W v. Wake 82-76, L @ Wake 78-85

    So a 1-6 record in situations similar to tomorrow. However, in all but two of those situations we had won the prior meeting. Interesting that in 2007/2008 we played the other four home/home opponents all on the road first before home dates.

    Obviously not a lot of statistical data yet but something interesting to look at.

  12. wufpup76 02/02/2010 at 10:27 PM #

    I believe we stand a reasonably good chance of winning this game, of course the margin for error is as always super thin and almost all of the “if’s” or intangibles need to fall in our favor.

    (Pretty desperate when you have to start hoping things just “fall your way”).

    I think there’s more to it than just stopping Landesberg. Virginia as a collective unit has bought into the coach’s “tough” mentality. You can have a winning team with adequate players when you play smart basketball, which is what UVa is excelling at right now.

    Don’t get me wrong, their margin for error is pretty small as well, but they certainly don’t exacerbate their own demise with turnovers, poor shot selection and spotty defense the way inconsistent or poor teams do (ahem, ahem).

    It’s a little bit like football, if you play smart and don’t turn the ball over and the talent differential is not huge then you give yourself a way better chance of winning.

    UVa played really good defensively the other night against the Holes, and for some reason the Holes started the game with Graves on Landesberg (ha!). They hit timely shots as a result of ball movement and screens away from the ball. They didn’t turn the ball over. End result: a pasting of an overrated and bloated Hole team on their home floor. Blueprint for a win against like competition.

    That said, we had them behind the 8 ball in Raleigh and folded after a bad call and poor free throw shooting. (I’m not blaming the call, I’m blaming the team for folding after said call.) At the time though, we were playing decent defense and actually rebounding the ball – things that we’ve gotten away from recently. The keys are almost always defense and rebounding (and of course it helps if you hit shots too).

    But even if we do somehow contain Landesberg, their “role” players are stepping up. Someone is hitting a shot or taking a charge. They believe. Does our team still? It’ll be interesting to see what happens tomorrow night. Hope we can get them down and keep them down this time.

  13. BJD95 02/02/2010 at 10:42 PM #

    I’m almost certain we win this game. In an ACC like this one, it’s only logical that we beat UVA on the road, right after UVA blitzed UNC in CH, while we just got blitzed by the Holes in Raleigh.

    Call it the anti-transitive property.

  14. Wolfy__79 02/02/2010 at 11:12 PM #

    i can easily see a win here for us! its not a guess, just a feeling. much like the bad feeling i had all day before the unc-ch tip.

    in regards to landesburg, sure you have to contain him and play your best man coverage on him/whatever zone you want. i thinnk its even more important to ATTACK their defense.. defense is where they pulled away from unc-ch.. the first half unc was sticking with them… coming out of the second half they kept scoring and the babies’ blue was shut down offensively. yeap, lets focus on attacking the defense as well. from our defensive standpoint, it is more important that the entire unit focuses on team defense, not neccessarily shutting down/”stopping” landesburg.. that is a mistake. uva is acieving by team contributions.. when you focus on stopping a talented player, it sometimes empowers them.. some sort of a confidence boost. it is more important that we execute offensively and defensively than to concentrate on the spokes of the wheel,…IMHO..

  15. MA Wolfpack 02/02/2010 at 11:26 PM #

    Line opened at UVA -5…moved to -6 right now. That’s actually less than I thought…was expecting closer to 8 after the beat down they put on UNC. The “low” line makes me feel better…almost daring the general public to jump on UVA so the “pros” can take NCSU.

  16. Wolfy__79 02/03/2010 at 12:08 AM #

    anybody know if this one online anywhere?

    being that close of a line isn’t that suprising to me. we should be in contention for a win here..

  17. Wufpacker 02/03/2010 at 1:53 AM #

    ^It should be carried on ESPN360 but might be blacked out locally (can’t remember if ESPNU games are subject to local black out on ESPN360 or not, and even if they are it might just be in Charlottesville area). If ESPN360 is not an option try this address just before tipoff:

    http://www.justin.tv/skinsnation

    If NCSU has a game being televised in any way, shape or form, this gent usually has it up and streaming.

  18. Wufpacker 02/03/2010 at 2:29 AM #

    I might be setting myself up for disappointment but I fully expect to see a much more cohesive team in the 2nd half of the conference season. We’ve seen flashes of some pretty good basketball thus far this season, and during the Duke game, and the FSU game to a lesser extent, we saw some pretty impressive sustained quality play.

    We are a young team, however, and it will be up and down. I don’t even think that is avoidable at this point. I was not surprised at all that we laid an egg in College Park after the Duke win, I even expected it. We were flat from the opening tip (save for a very pretty opening 3 that actually made me think maybe we weren’t flat…that didn’t last long though). And I don’t think there was much that could have changed that fact. I WAS a bit surprised at how we folded against UNC, however. After a very impressive first few minutes of the 2nd half, regaining the lead and stretching it out to 5 I thought we had overcome the doldrums, so to speak. A 28-6 UNC run later and we were not only on our way to a loss, but what turned out to be a pretty ugly loss. That being said, we could just as easily have won that game.

    If we don’t go cold at that exact moment, and then “seize up” with regard to both offense and defense, and instead stretch that lead out a little further to about 10 or 12, I think we win going away, even if we do still hit a scoring drought after that point. Basically I think we panicked when they cut the lead so quickly…I also think we were WAY overdue to call a timeout to try and stop UNC’s momentum…by the time it was called we were already headed downhill and were picking up speed fast. If we call that timeout sooner I think we give ourselves a better chance. But then, there’s that “if” again.

    In any case, we’ve had a full week to get over that, and hopefully even learn from it. We had a nice little tune up against NCCU. Having faced UVa before I suspect that Sid can better know what to expect. When we lost to UVa earlier we thought it was a travesty at the time, but they’ve turned out to be a better team than most folks thought. But that being said, I still think we match up well with them, and I think we have a chance to catch them a little flat after their emotional win in Chapel Hill.

    Obviously we’ll have to play well to get the road win but I think we have a good chance of doing so. I also think we have a reasonable chance to then get 4 or maybe even 5 more wins in our last 8 games to possibly get to .500 in conference play. If that happens, and we can then grab at least one win in the tournament, we suddenly show up on Selection Sunday with 21 wins. Even that would likely not be enough, but it would be enough to make it interesting.

    Like I said, I’m probably setting myself up for disappointment, but right now I don’t see anybody left on our schedule that we can’t beat on any given day. The conference is wide open this year unlike anything I remember for a while and I think we have a good enough team that we can capitalize upon this. To what degree we capitalize will depend upon how consistently we can play, and how mentally tough we can prove to be. Unfortunately those have been two qualities that we maybe haven’t had an abundance of, but hopefully these last 9 games (and the ACC Tournament) will be a turning point for the program that we can look back on in a few years and say “right there….thats when the program turned.”

    Stranger things have happened.

  19. Wulfpack 02/03/2010 at 6:40 AM #

    Hard to believe that UVA is favored in this game. Tells you pretty much all you need to know. Don’t get me wrong, we can beat them. We can also beat UNC. How’d that turn out?

  20. fullmoon1 02/03/2010 at 8:06 AM #

    Virginia is playing great they were able to beat a highly ranked tarheels team at the dome. Not really. I am glad the tarheels lost, I enjoyed it throughly but I am not sure it is only because of Virginia’s solid play. This game is very winnable and I think we win this one.
    Just because Sid said to the media he doesn’t know if Javi will play doesn’t mean his mind is not made up. I am sure Sid is aware of the media bias and choses his words carefully. Sounds like something right out of Roy’s play book and he is just being tactful. So if the consensus is we don’t have decent guard play why would it matter if Javi played or not?

  21. philliepacker 02/03/2010 at 8:07 AM #

    ^leewolf^ Correct me if I am wrong but you stated “In the Sidney Lowe era we are 4-11 vs acc teams the second time around. You seem to say this like it is something good?
    1-2 on the road and beating number “25” FSU?

  22. fullmoon1 02/03/2010 at 8:10 AM #

    bjd95 I was thinking the same thing. That might be the only game we win in feb but that would jive with the inconsistent mojo we have going.

  23. wolfonthehill 02/03/2010 at 8:20 AM #

    The fact that someone can say we could “shock UVa” is tragic… nothing more needs to be said about our program.

  24. PoppaJohn 02/03/2010 at 8:45 AM #

    Wow, I can’t believe I am reading so many optimistic comments!
    Not sure I agree with them, but I think it really says something about the direction of the program. We’re getting better.

    We are at a point that if the stars align, we can beat most teams.

    The next step will be to get back to the point that we beat the teams we should beat most of the time, and still pull some upsets.

    And then … watch out!

  25. coach13 02/03/2010 at 9:21 AM #

    My advice…expect nothing (or expect a loss). Do not bank on this game for your sole entertainment for the evening. Have a backup plan.

    If anything good comes of this game, let it be a pleasant surprise, not an expectation.

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