Senior Night – Wake Entry

It is Senior Night at NC State and the RBC should be filled to capacity for Engin Atsur’s final home game in Wolfpack white.

Section Six has their typical great preview up. Their advice is the take a very close look at the Deacons.

The long and the short of it is simple – the Deacons’ offense isn’t that good, and their defense is even worse. Because of the mismatch between State’s good offense and Wake’s bad defense – this game will be won or lost by the Wolfpack’s defensive efforts when the Demon Deacons have the ball. IF NC State brings the Dr. Jekyll squad who plays defense and blocks out on the boards – as opposed to the Mr. Hyde squad who looks like a Les Robinson team – the Wolfpack should be in a good position.

The Deacons have the least efficient offense in the ACC, and by a comfortable margin, which you can see illustrated in Big Ten Wonk’s handy visual aid. What makes them so bad? In addition to being the most turnover prone team in the conference, the Deacs are also 11th in eFG% and 10th in offensive rebounding percentage. Can’t shoot, can’t grab your misses–this is a problem better known as Chronic Brick Fatigue Syndrome.

In seven conference road games, the offense has been nothing short of terrible: 0.89 points/possession, including a delightful 0.62 pts/poss effort in Durham.

What I’m not going to tell you for fear of the consequences is that Wake Forest hasn’t managed to score better than a point per possession in any road conference game this season. I’m definitely not pointing that out.

The primary unknown tonight is the potential impact of Wake’s press. It didn’t work for them in Winston-Salem, but they have effectively pressed some teams at different points during the year. State should be able to handle the press as long as the officials don’t swallow their whistle and think that tackling is a part of pressing ala the Wolfpack’s visit to Atlanta earlier in the year. As this awesome analysis crystallizes

…every time the Wolfpack turns the ball over, it costs us 1.3 points. Every time Gavin dribbles the ball off his foot and out of bounds, 1.3 points go down the tubes. Every time Gavin has a lazy pass intercepted, that’s 1.3 points we can never get back. Every time– Okay, okay.

Turnovers have made what is an otherwise decent (Wolfpack) offense into one of the worst in the league. And this is only tangentially related, but you want to know how much we suck at the secondary offensive factors–how much they drag us down? We’re #1 in effective field goal percentage in conference play…and 10th in offensive efficiency. Thanks to turnovers and anemic offensive rebounding, the best shooting team in the ACC has one of the three worst offenses in the ACC.

Despite the erratic play of the Wolfpack this season, isn’t it a wonderful feeling to be going into tonight’s game with a little general happiness? Think about it. There is no potential controversy regarding who gets to start and who doesn’t get to start on Senior Night; and there is no controversy of a squad that has significantly under-performed expectations all season.

Go back and look at the pre-season expectations for Wolfpack Basketball this season — that included the presumption that Engin Atsur would be healthy all year! Under that backdrop, tonight is as “big” of a game as it gets for NC State in 2007. A win over Wake would insure a winning regular season record for Sidney Lowe’s first season and position the Pack to try to impress the NIT selection committee during the rest of our games. This was considered a “STRETCH” goal before the season began.

Additionally, Sidney Lowe’s win in Winston-Salem earlier in the year obviously improved upon the Wolfpack’s recent performance in our rivalry with Wake Forest. (Link)

State has a chance to sweep the Deacons tonight and take a huge step to re-establishing the ‘rightful order’ of things on Tobacco Road. Take a look at this link to some hard work that we put into analysis regarding sweeps in the Wolfpack – Demon Deacon series.

Since Everett Case began coaching NC State in 1946, NC State has swept the regular season series from Wake Forest on 20 occassions. Herb Sendek swept the regular season from Wake Forest once.

Sidney Lowe has a chance to equal that record tonight!!!


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06-07 Basketball General

140 Responses to Senior Night – Wake Entry

  1. Gene 02/28/2007 at 2:19 PM #

    Good article from The game is mostly for Atsur and all the hard work he’s put into this program for four years.

  2. Gene 02/28/2007 at 2:20 PM #

    Above link is too long and doesn’t open properly, here it is through tinyurl.

  3. CedarGroveWolf 02/28/2007 at 2:31 PM #

    If would be bad if we didn’t sweep the reg season series this year considering how bad the wake team is.

  4. LRM 02/28/2007 at 3:12 PM #

    “Good article from”

    There’s something you don’t hear everyday.

  5. tooyoungtoremember 02/28/2007 at 3:32 PM #

    “If would be bad if we didn’t sweep the reg season series this year considering how bad the wake team is.”

    It can’t get any worse than how things turned out last year against them late in the season/postseason.

  6. choppack1 02/28/2007 at 3:33 PM #

    BJD95- Did you write this??

    ” as opposed to the Mr. Hyde squad who looks like a Les Robinson team “

  7. CedarGroveWolf 02/28/2007 at 3:50 PM #

    “It can’t get any worse than how things turned out last year against them late in the season/postseason.”

    true, hopefully they won’t play their 2 best games all season against us again.

  8. BJD95 02/28/2007 at 3:53 PM #

    ^^ Nope. I did correct the spelling of “Jekyll” though. It’s hard to argue that the squad that showed up against FSU or Miami didn’t look like a Les-era team.

    Still, that’s such an insult that I try never to use such an analogy!

  9. legacyman 02/28/2007 at 4:00 PM #

    Let’xs see now. A Les type team…do you mean the type of team that beat dean smith teams 5 out of 12 times…is that what you meant? I think it is way past time to quit hating on Les.

  10. tcthdi-tgsf-twhwtnc 02/28/2007 at 4:10 PM #

    Thanks Engin.

    My issues with Les is that he 1) He allowed academia pinheads to take over the basketball program. 2) He kept saying that he would never need to be fired that if he didn’t think he could get it done he would resign. He did eventually resign but about 3 years after the writing was on the wall. 3) The red sweater.

  11. packpigskinfan23 02/28/2007 at 4:14 PM #

    damn I wish I could be there tonight!!!

    just got news today that my little sister has been accepted into the Wolfpack Nation!!! I cant wait to go to bring her to games with me! I can only hope she sees a team the shows true excellence!

  12. GraysCreekWolf 02/28/2007 at 4:17 PM #

    ^^What was wrong with the red sweater??

  13. LRM 02/28/2007 at 4:24 PM #

    Cut Les a break. He did a helluva job for the hand he was dealt. He did exactly what he was hired to do: Get a sinking ship back above water. He didn’t “allow” the academia to take over, he didn’t have a choice — without self-imposed academic restrictions and oversight, we were very possibly looking at the Death Penalty.

  14. CedarGroveWolf 02/28/2007 at 4:35 PM #

    “Get a sinking ship back above water. ”

    I think we were drowning, we were 15-16, 3-13 in last place in the ACC his final (6th) season. People named the ACC tourney play-in game after the man.

  15. redfred2 02/28/2007 at 4:35 PM #

    It’s the same Les Robinson with the almost 50 winning percentages against unc, the one who coached a Phi Beta Kappa kid who graduated Summa Cum Laude with a BS in Applied Mathematics, and has program named after him. That same kid who turned down a Rhodes Scholarship to Oxford University in order to play in what IS the most successful NBA career in the past fifteen years of Wolfpack basketball, if not much longer.

    The same coach who was totally bound and shackled the whole time he was here. Not saying he was great, or even ACC caliber, or that I wasn’t ready for him to go, but c’mon, we know the administration now, can you imagine back then. LES just give the man a little break around here.

  16. ahipppackfan 02/28/2007 at 4:42 PM #

    Not sure where to mention this…
    but Josh Powell has been playing well for Golden State – “Powell finished with 12 points, eight rebounds and five assists in 22 minutes.” This before/after being injured –

    Also, didn’t see any posts on Hodge being cut. He has now signed with the Idaho Stampede, D-League for Seattle and Utah.

  17. packpigskinfan23 02/28/2007 at 4:56 PM #

    wait a minute… from what I am seeing, there is no coverage for this game by LF?!?! and its only being shown on ESPNUnavailable?!?!?!!

    please tell me I am WAY OFF…

  18. PapaJohn 02/28/2007 at 5:05 PM #

    I’m going, but I can only stand to watch with one eye!
    GO PACK! Win it for Engin!

  19. gopack968 02/28/2007 at 5:10 PM #

    ^^ No, you are on target. ESPNU for a senior night late-season game between two of the big four programs.


    I am going to the game, but this still sucks. What the hell is wrong with Raycom/Liberty Mutual/JP-or whatever they are called now – Sports?

    Perhaps WRAL just could not bear to delay Criminal Minds and yet another CSI:Toledo episode!

    GO PACK!

    Also – see the UNC Rivalry thread for the potential FL recruit who will be at the game!

  20. packpigskinfan23 02/28/2007 at 5:21 PM #

    I really cant understand this!!! last home game of the season. big 4. best player on the teams gets his last home game. big recruit there. and I get to sit at home and watch…. american idol?!?! this is bullshit.

  21. graywolf 02/28/2007 at 5:23 PM #

    Im old and showing my age but I remember the game of the week in the ACC……..its still better than it use to be.

  22. vtpackfan 02/28/2007 at 5:59 PM #

    I will be listening to Tony Haines on 680 am. It’s quality, not as exciting as watching the game for sure, but great play by play. I hope we play some inspired D, take some charges and come with a toughness worthy of an Engin Atsur senior night.

  23. Texpack 02/28/2007 at 6:09 PM #

    I can’t understand this people at the mercy of TWC. Come to Houston and watch the game with the Houston Area NC State Alumni Club.

  24. packpigskinfan23 02/28/2007 at 6:30 PM #

    twc MUST pickup ESPN Unavailable by August or I swear I WILL boycott!!! You KNOW we are doomed to have at least 2 football games on that damn channel next year. And I am sure they will be away games that I am not going to be able to attend.

  25. LRM 02/28/2007 at 7:06 PM #

    This is a smart tactic by ESPN. They did the same thing in the mid 90s to bully ESPN2 into standard cable packages. A Carolina-Duke game finally made it happen…I doubt a match up of two teams tied for last will have the same effect.

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