Final Poll

1.  Florida
2.  LSU
3.  Ohio State
4.  Southern Cal
5.  Louisville
6.  Michigan
7.  Wisconsin
8.  Auburn
9.  Boise State
10. Arkansas
10. West Virginia
12. Oklahoma
13. Texas
14. Wake Forest
15. Tennessee
16. Georgia
17. Rutgers
18. California
19. BYU
20. Virginia Tech
21. Notre Dame
22. Penn State
22. Boston College
24. Oregon State
25. South Carolina

Wire to Wire

No, not Ohio State. The SEC went wire to wire as the nation’s toughest football conference – despite what Sagarin’s poll thinks about the Pac 10.

Florida came out and showed what many SEC fans already felt. It’s really tough to put together an impressive looking season coming out of the SEC. Going into the game, the general perception was that Florida was anemic on offense and wouldn’t be able to score enough to keep up with Ohio State’s high octane offense.

Of course, it was Ohio State with the anemic offense. Ohio State only had two drives over 15 yards (that’s right, 15 yards), and one of those drives (25 yards) was against a Florida prevent defense at the end of the first half. Sure having Ted Ginn Jr. out of the game hurt, but he wasn’t the one who won the Heisman, and he wasn’t playing defense.

The Regular Season

So, the regular season works? At the end of the regular season, the playoff proponents remarked about how well the regular season worked and that it gave us the game we wanted – Ohio State versus whoever Ohio State was going to beat. Hell, it almost gave us Ohio State/Michigan.

The reality is that whether you are for a playoff or not, until the BCS conferences start playing more inter-conference games, the regular season only tells you who the conference champions are. We still have no idea how good Ohio State really is. Could they play with USC, unlike Michigan, who they only beat by 3? Could they play against LSU? For that matter, could they play against Louisville, Wake Forest, or Boise State? The only big wins coming out of the Big Ten were OSU over an over-rated Texas team with a 2nd game freshman starter at QB, and Michigan over an over-rated Notre Dame team. However, everyone was willing to proclaim the Buckeyes as far and away the best team in the country this year based on the regular season despite the fact that Ohio State played exactly one team since September that had a winning record.

Boise State

Congrats on a great win to the boys from the blue turf, but let’s not get carried away. The Broncos surprised the Sooners. Yet, at the end of the game, it was clear OU had superior athletes and even Boise State’s coaches realized they couldn’t win in continued overtime. Boise State out-coached, out-played, and certainly out-funned OU. They played their best game versus an OU team that didn’t play up to its abilities. It was a great and well-deserved win for the Boise State program. However, it shouldn’t be viewed as a statement game. Winning in overtime using back-to-back trick plays to defeat a demoralized Big 12 team doesn’t mean they can handle the load of a BCS schedule.

Buying Bear Bryant

Can Alabama football ever return to the level of prominence it faced under Bear Bryant? Realistically, can any team reach that level with today’s scholarship limitations?

There is no doubt that Nick Saban is at least a good coach. On the other hand, there is more than a little doubt as to weather he is worth $32 million in guaranteed money. If Alabama chooses to fire Saban after one year, they’ll owe hi the same $32 million they’ll owe him if he stays all eight. On the other hand, if he chooses to leave after one year, he won’t owe Bama a dime.

While most would agree that Saban did a lot for LSU, it’s also easy to argue that LSU did a lot for Saban. Although Saban was already respected in the coaching community prior to heading to Baton Rouge, it was in Baton Rouge where he was canonized. The NFL came knocking on the door several times while Saban was in Baton Rouge, but one thing is for certain, he wouldn’t have pulled down a $4.0 or 4.5 million per year salary if he’d never coached the Tigers.

Tiger fans are very proud of their program, but it’s not the history of LSU that makes it successful now, its geography as much as anything. If you look at a map of all the BCS programs in the country, LSU is on an island. That island produces the fifth most NFL talent in the country, and that is NOT on a per capita basis. Not only does LSU own a monopoly on the state of Louisiana, but from many parts of Mississippi and Alabama, LSU is also the closest BCS school. Additionally, LSU is right next to Texas, which produces the third most talent in the country right behind California and Florida.

At last count, Alabama was tied for 13th on the list of NFL talent, and the Tide must share the state with Auburn in addition to being fertile ground for Tennessee, Georgia, and LSU. So, Saban will have to recruit nationally at least in part, and that is something that he was less successful at than most people realize while he was at LSU. On the 2003 national title team, only four starters were not from Louisiana, and one of those was less than two hours from Tiger Stadium on the Mississippi Gulf Coast. Another lived on the Texas-Louisiana border. One was from Miami, but wasn’t offered by the Florida schools, and the fourth was a professional baseball player who was recruited by Saban during his years at MSU.

Ostensibly Bama hit a home run with the Saban hire. However, questions remain, can Saban win with less talent? Can Saban recruit out of state? How much did this coaching search damage the Saban aura and his credibility?

About StateFans

'StateFansNation' is the shared profile used by any/all of the dozen or so authors that contribute to the blog. You may not always agree with us, but you will have little doubt about where we stand on most issues. Please follow us on Twitter and FaceBook

'06 Football General NCS Football

29 Responses to Final Poll

  1. roandaddy 01/11/2007 at 5:05 PM #

    RedTerror.. you sure its not CrimsonTerror?
    The same stockpile point could be made about Saban.. he inherited Dinardo’s players including the seniors on his NC team were all DiNardo players. Sorry, but the “border” argument falls a little flat. Saban benefited from the “LSU island” as the article points out. Alabama may have good talent on its borders.. but it also has UGA and UT on its borders as well. UT is notorious for raiding states for the good talent as it has for years in NC and SC. (I really hope you aren’t including FL in your border analysis)
    Most recruits weren’t ever BORN when Bama was in its glory, and while Bama has been burying the Bear, the Florida schools have risen up and are now picking off those top 150 players in Alabama and “bordering states”.

  2. LSUTigerFan 01/11/2007 at 5:07 PM #

    ^Redterror29

    You are correct that Alabama has excellent facilities; however, so do LSU, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, and Auburn. I suspect that South Carolina’s and Arkansas are not far behind, but in any case, it would be difficult for a recruit to differientiate the programs in the SEC based on facilities alone.

    Also, it might be a stretch to say that Bama owns the state of Mississippi with only 8 kids on their roster from that state. They do have an advantage with kids in Jackson and Central MS because of the location, but its the same type advantage that LSU owns along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, which is a short 2 hour drive from Baton Rouge. Alabama has the ability to recruit good kids, but they don’t have the built in advantages of schools like LSU and Georgia who dominate talent rich states, or Texas and Florida, who have lots of competition but so much in state talent that it doesn’t matter.

    The bottom line is that Bama can’t win on Alabama talent alone, and Saban has yet to demonstrate he can take the quality out of state kids away from their home schools.

  3. primacyone 01/11/2007 at 5:13 PM #

    ^Yes, but not necessarily your final ranking or necessarily if you want to keep your job. I was looking at the ranking and the SOS from above. You have to play your conference schedule, but based on the above I don’t necessarily any reason to not play an easy out of conference schedule.

    If Wisconsin and Boise State had lost one more game(or a game for BS) that they would be ranked in the top 10.

    The team’s with the greatest SOS above fired their coaches.

    So, yes, to me it does look as there “could” be justification. If you want to win a championship you’ve got to play a tougher schedule, but if you want to finish in the top 25 and keep your job, a very easy OOC schedule could be the ticket.

  4. redfred2 01/14/2007 at 12:36 PM #

    I could see adding the word “just” into that last sentence, but otherwise ^primacyone, you’re dead on.

Leave a Reply