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Greetings! It’s another full day of basketball in the 2015 NCAA Tournament and today we’re moving on into the Round of 32. After a thrilling – and lit
[See the full post at: Nova Preview / Sat. Rd. of 32 Open Thread]Hi. Authors – if you feel the need to edit a post in any way, would you please denote your edits by highlighting your author/user name? I would appreciate it very much. I will be sure to return the same courtesy in the future should a similar need ever arise. Thanks a lot!! 🙂
After the last Duke game, I hope the bad Wolfpack has been shelved for the rest of the season. If we bring our A game, we can go far. Go Pack!
^ There’s no reason to expect that the bad Wolfpack has been shelved for the season. They’ve been here all year. The only hope is that the bad Wolfpack doesn’t choose to show up today. Make no mistake though, they’re still around.
I will be opimistic, and hope they may have finally learned their lesson, and realize they have to be good from here on out, or the season is over. Guess we will know after the game.
No need to watch this game tonight everyone. As this website says:
Villanova awaits, and it will take a completely out of character, mistake-free, Herculean effort by the Wolfpack to still be in the game by the second half. Villanova has earned every bit of their one seed, and as the statistics show, NC State similarly ‘deserved’ their eight seed and stumbled into the second round. Have faith in the stats, Nova Nation: Villanova is very much in the driver’s seat, and NC State is merely a speed bump.
So let us just get ready for the other ACC games today.
^ That entire preview drips of so much arrogance I would have thought it from Carolina or ‘Cuse fans.
I would love it if their team had a similar mindset.
This comment is very telling.
“I always felt like for us to ever go to another level, he’s the guy,” coach Mark Gottfried said. “Somehow, we’ve got to get him playing at a higher level. My encouragement to him was just, you need to be you. Go be Cat. Go play. If you’re going to make mistakes, make them, but let’s make them at 100 miles an hour. I don’t want you walking the ball up the floor, playing conservatively. I want you to cut it loose.”
Interesting post from the Nova faithful. Heard very similar things from Georgetown folks a few years back. We will need to be focused, show defensive intensity and play our A game from start to finish.
What the Nova guy doesn’t understand is that Nova would NOT be a #1 seed had they played in the ACC.
I wanted to tie in this weekend’s games back to the ODS articles by taking a look to see how those who made the R32 did compared to the last 13 seasons as well as looking to see what we should expect from the weekend games.
Looking at teams who reached the Round of 32 in the past I discovered when you set the bottom ODS value at -1Sigma (11.4) the average number of teams that fall below 11.4 and make it came out to 2.5 teams, the maximum number in a year was 4 in 3 different years. In 2015 there were 2 teams with a value below 11.4 that made it to the Round of 32: Georgia St. (9.9) and UAB (3.7), well within the norms.
Here’s a little bit of 411 to pass along, the 3rd lowest ODS value this year to advance to the R32 was 12.7 and that was done by 2 teams: Cincinnati and NC State. Since NC State entered the tournament with an ODS value of 13.6, they shockingly moved on by playing worse but when a team is determined to give you the game it would be rude to turn it down.
Now looking at teams to move on to the Sweet 16, we set the bottom ODS value at -1Sigma (14.4) for teams to advance. Using 14.4 there was an average of 1.2 upsets, or teams below 14.4 that advanced to the S16, with a maximum of 3 teams below 14.4 in 2012. Using this information we can expect up to 3 teams below 14.4 to advance and here are the list of 9 teams which meet this criteria and their ODS values:
(8) San Diego St. (14.3)
(4) Maryland (13.9)
(8) Oregon (13.1)
(11) Dayton (12.9)
(11) UCLA (12.9)
(8) Cincinnati (12.7)
(8) NC State (12.7)
(14) Georgia St. (9.9)
(14) UAB (3.7)I don’t know about the rest of you but something sticks out more to me than 14 seeds Georgia St. and UAB in that list and that’s the Twerps. For a team that is seeded 4th they sure haven’t been playing very good lately.
With UCLA/UAB squaring off against each other we are guaranteed 1 of the 9 teams to advance and thus satisfy the average over the last 13 years. Since Maryland has such a favorable seeding they are the likeliest of those remaining teams to advance but they still have to face WVU who should be favored in that game in my opinion. With all the 8 seeds having to play 1 seeds it’s highly unlikely, not impossible just unlikely, any of them will advance. I wouldn’t count out Dayton either, the Fightin’ Archies are a tough bunch and I wouldn’t be shocked to see them take down Oklahoma.
This comment is very telling.
A coach tells the team’s most impactful player that the team’s potential depends on that player maximizing his skill and talent. Yes, very telling indeed.
If only Jamie Dixon were available to help navigate this mystery.
Pre-game meal will be Tex-Mex tonight. Might even fire up the Margarita machine. Getting to the second weekend is more important for next year’s edition of the Pack than it is this year’s. Going through that preparation week and handling the attention is an experience we can really benefit from. This year’s team is playing with house money at this point.
As for the rest of the games today it’s Woo Pig Sooie!, Go Bucks!, Go Bulldogs, Blazers, and Panthers.
Wufpup got it exactly right with this one sentence …
As we all know, so many of the Pack’s results this season have been due to what happens between the ears and not so much because of a talent deficit.
It’s going to be all about how we respond when we get down 10+ early and get frustrated by their defense.
The thing that gives me the most hope is Nova’s schedule. They haven’t played a lot of great teams. I am hoping that they will be shocked by our teams combination of size, skill, athleticism and toughness.
If we bring it like we brought it against UNC, Duke (at home), uva and the domers we will be fine and in the game at the end. OTOH, we know what else this goofy group is capable of.
So helpful.
I can’t recall exactly, but there was a game thread (I think) in which a small discussion took place on the necessity of Kyle W. getting a site nickname. I can’t remember who spit it out, but due to his amusing facial expressions (which always seem to get photographed) ‘Angel of Death’ was suggested and stuck.
I believe that’s pretty much it …
It would really be helpful for our outside shooters to not struggle for 75% of the game today. If they follow the general pattern of failing to get open and missing shots, this game will be out of hand before the 2nd TV timeout.
Getting this out of the way early…
A fine, fine effort …
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