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coaching will be a factor when you consider 2 evenly matched teams.
A fellow coach had this to say about Bear Bryant, “He can take his’n and beat your’n or he can take your’n and beat his’n.” Superior preparation, execution and (recruited) ability is a result of superior coaching.
I shamefully envied UNC when they got Fedora. Now I would be sick if he coached State. IMNSHO Coaches make a huge difference. It’s why they can command the salaries they do.