Reply To: ACC FB Preseason News Articles

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#123378
gso packbacker
Participant

Well the one consistent thing in the post-Sheridan/post-V era, NCSU will underperform their pick.

I’d like to see the correlation of pick versus performance. Seems if most folks are optimistic, we under-perform. If most folks are generally pessimistic, we have a 50/50 shot at over-performing.

I did look at this for basketball last season, and over the past 38 seasons, on average, we under-performed if picked 6th or better. 7th or worse, we tended to over-perform.

Sendek: 10 seasons, 8 within +/- 2 places of preseason prediction
Lowe: 5 Seasons, 1 were within +/- 2
Gottfried: 6 Seasons, ZERO were within +/- 2.

Yes, the league grew and changed, but I think that sums up Capt Wood Chopper versus the other two.