The Beach invades Raleigh [Updated for use as game thread]

Dan Jennings anchors Long Beach State’s front line. (Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY)

[UPDATE: Saturday 1:30pm] – Seems silly to waste this wonderful preview by Jigsy, so this is now also your game thread for today (yes, it might also be somewhat from laziness, but who’s to say????)  -Wufpacker

Long Beach State that is, this Saturday at 2:00pm on RSN (likely Fox Sports South). The 49’ers of LBSU, or The Beach as they like to be called, aren’t doing very well this year. They are sporting a 1-8 record so far and ranked 227 according to Ken Pomeroy. Their lone win has been against Hawaii Pacific, a Div II team. They don’t play a Sendekian non-conference schedule, their losses have been against Arizona, Kansas St. (twice), Michigan, VCU, Creighton, Washington, and Loyola Marymount. Needless to say they aren’t going to be in awe of the Pack.

This my friends is the Walter Pyramid, LBSU’s 5000 seat basketball/volleyball arena.

LBSU won the Big West regular season title last year and was in the NIT but Head Coach Dan Monson kicked starters Tony Freeland and Keala King, as well as reserve Deng Deng, off the team during the offseason due to misconduct. …The Beach mainly plays a zone so we get to see more of it and likely played better than what North by Northwestern showed against the Pack. …LBSU isn’t a big team with only one significant player above 6-7, Dan Jennings at 6-9. …Junior Guard Tyler Lamb transferred from UCLA but won’t be eligible until the fall semester ends, which doesn’t help against the Pack but should help them during the conference season.

Category …Offense (NR) …Defense (NR)
Adj. Efficieny …99.5 (250) ……103.9 (185)
Adj. Tempo ……66.1 (288)
Four Factors
Effective FG% 45.0 (302) …..52.4 (255)
Turnover % ….19.2 (211) .…18.3 (177)
Off. Reb% …..30.8 (192) .….35.8 (282)
FTA/FGA ……33.0 (297) ……38.2 (132)

Looking back at 2013 there isn’t much difference from this year on defense, except they don’t send their opponents to the free throw line as much. What is different is so far their tempo is a little slower, not as efficient on offense, and not shooting the ball as well, which is understandable considering they don’t shoot the 3 well or good at shooting FT’s.

Likely Starters:
#5 Michael Caffey (6-0, 175, JR) PG – Caffey is their go-to guy, he gets an insane 31% of their possessions. Caffey needs help, he’s simply taking way too many shots even while shooting a respectable 38% from behind the arc. Making more FT’s could really help him since his FT Rate is 36.5% but making only 54% at the line. This is the guy the Pack needs to focus their efforts on and try to slow down. I expect to see Barber/Lee covering him on defense.
#35 Dan Jennings (6-9, 245, SR) Forward – Jennings started his career at West Virginia, spending 2 years there before transferring to LBSU. Jennings is the only other returning starter this season in addition to Caffey. His minutes have increased and is getting a few more possessions while increasing his efficiency, though he’s not a very good FT shooter currently 13-33 (39%), last year he was only hitting 46%. This is the guy to watch around the rim for rebounds and we need to get a body on him.
#15 A.J. Spencer (6-3, 200, JR) Guard – Spencer is one of two JUCO transfers now starting for The Beach. He has respectable numbers all around, for one he’s the only guy on the team shooting above 67% from the charity stripe at 86.4%, so don’t foul him. The one place he’s really struggling, like the rest of the team, is behind the arc, 15%.
#11 David Samuels (6-7, 225, JR) Forward – Samuels is the other JUCO transfer now starting for LBSU. Samuels isn’t bad but he isn’t good either, 37% 2FG, 20% 3FG, 67% FT, but he can rebound so keep an eye on him for when they miss.
#14 Branford Jones (6-1, 185, R-FR) Guard – Jones sat out last season due to a leg injury but it hasn’t slowed him down in the leading the team in 3FG% at 38.5%. Caffey has made more but he’s taken nearly twice as many as Jones. Basically he’s the other guy to not allow wide open looks at the basket.

Coming off the Bench:
#2 Kris Gulley (6-7, 195, JR) Forward
#31 McKay LaSalle (6-3, 190, JR) Guard
#21 Christian Griggs-Williams (6-7, 260, JR) Forward
#20 Desmond Ross (6-3, 190, FR) Guard
#33 Nick Shepard (6-9, 220, JR) Forward

Not much help coming off the bench, honestly there’s really no help. None of these guys are very efficient with the ball. The one good thing I can say is Griggs-Williams will help the defensive rebounding while he’s in the game. So that mean’s one of these guys will have a career night because it wouldn’t be a game if some unknown didn’t have a career night against the Pack.

This team is not expected to make it to the NCAA Tournament and will not help the Pack’s RPI, so we should win easily but we’re NC State and we all know what that means. V-man should have a big game against this small lineup, I’d also like to see the other forwards have big games, and it would be nice if Lee has a breakout game from behind the arc.

Pomeroy likes us by 13, giving us a 90% chance at winning.

About 1.21 Jigawatts

Class of '98, Mechanical Engineer, State fan since arriving on campus and it's been a painful ride ever since. I live by the Law of NC State Fandom, "For every Elation there is an equal and opposite Frustration."

13-14 Basketball

169 Responses to The Beach invades Raleigh [Updated for use as game thread]

  1. PoppaJohn 12/06/2013 at 11:29 AM #

    Another opportunity to work on our offense against the zone before the regular season starts. That’s a good thing.

    Would be nice to see:
    1 – Continued improvement in outside shooting overall
    2 – Tyler hit a couple of shots to help get his confidence back
    3 – Dez to score double digits
    4 – Nard, let’s see another double/double
    5 – Continue the energy on defense from last game. That was our best defensive effort yet.

  2. bill.onthebeach 12/06/2013 at 1:32 PM #

    ^What no VANDwagon ???

    The VANDwagon is the key the whole season.

  3. FergusWolf 12/06/2013 at 1:37 PM #

    I’m on the VANDwagon too! My biggest fear for the season right now is that the VANDwagon has a history of breaking down…I fear that if that happens, our younger bigs might not be ready for it.

  4. PoppaJohn 12/06/2013 at 2:43 PM #

    Of COURSE I am expecting the big guy to continue his brilliant play, just like TJ. They are perfection!
    If the rest of the team can play as well as those two …. sorry, that is too big for my brain.

  5. wufpup76 12/06/2013 at 3:19 PM #

    Thanks a lot for the preview.

    I’m not expecting an easy time of it, but certainly like our chances.

    One note, our ooc schedule has taken some rpi hits – FGCU, Beach, N’western, Campbell, Central, EKU, and App all will come close to having 150+ rpi’s (with some in the 200’s). Plus we still have Detroit and Ecu on the schedule. Not all of these school will be 150+, but LBSU and FGCU are much worse (as of now) than last season’s versions.

    I think we’ll be ok (if we’re in the conversation in a couple of months), but the Central loss is going to weigh us down some. They’re actually top 50 rpi right now, but that will plummet when MEAC play starts. Not to mention that we have the bottom third of our league plus Pittsburgh – with their typically laughable ooc schedule.

    TL ; DR: It always hurts you when your opponents ‘under-perform’.

  6. Adventuroo 12/06/2013 at 3:39 PM #

    Nice article…..these really give you an idea of who is coming to town.

    At the Northwestern game the other night, the PA announcer was ballyhooing the “BEACH” theme for the game. I usually tune out such, but when I perked up and smile, my daughter poked me in the ribs and said….”Don’t even THINK about it”. Later I found out that she and my DW had been talking about the theme and HOPING that I would not pick up on the invitation to wear festive clothing….

    I looked LONG and HARD, but I think that they have hidden my prized RED Speedo Bikini style racing trunks….So I will have to endeavor to concoct an outfit that will have the same impact.

    Seriously…..this is one of those game where I HOPE that Coach G adopts the Mikey philosophy and takes a LARGE lead early and then really POURS it on. Would like to see some fresh faces on the court.

  7. bill.onthebeach 12/06/2013 at 9:03 PM #

    .. roo, those women are smarter than you may think….

    Besides, Speedo left town when the Showcase closed.

  8. 13OT 12/06/2013 at 10:21 PM #

    Best thing about this game is that it’ll be over by 4pm and I can get home in time to see some good football games!

  9. MrPlywood 12/07/2013 at 2:22 AM #

    Looking forward to seeing the Aussie surf this beach.


  10. bill.onthebeach 12/07/2013 at 10:40 AM #

    ^the Aussie and his “mates”…

    DA VANDwagon holds 5 guys at a time.

    Surf’s UP Dude.

  11. WallyB 12/07/2013 at 1:46 PM #

    Anybody got a link to a stream for us cord-cutters?

  12. Wufpacker 12/07/2013 at 1:48 PM #

    It will also be an ESPN3 game for those of us whose RSN’s see fit to show some other garbage (personally, mine has Fordham/St. John’s from MSG…oy).

  13. 1.21 Jigawatts 12/07/2013 at 2:04 PM #

    I foresee lots of snark today. 🙂

  14. 1.21 Jigawatts 12/07/2013 at 2:09 PM #

    Nice no call on the shove against Vandy ref. kinda easy to see and call if you open your eyes.

  15. Rick 12/07/2013 at 2:11 PM #

    The Frenchman, Le Nard makes one

  16. wufpup76 12/07/2013 at 2:11 PM #

    Well, they certainly don’t lack for confidence.

    This could be pretty tight

  17. Rick 12/07/2013 at 2:11 PM #

    Defense not starting out too week so far

  18. Rick 12/07/2013 at 2:13 PM #

    Pnc looking empty

  19. wufpup76 12/07/2013 at 2:17 PM #

    Any ref issues could because the ‘evil one’ is with us today: Brian Dorsey.

    The same Brian Dorsey who last worked a Pack game in the Acc semi against the Holes the other season … The same game in which we had our shorts pulled down and we were drilled from behind.

  20. Rick 12/07/2013 at 2:17 PM #

    Lee had been a nice pickup

  21. bill.onthebeach 12/07/2013 at 2:17 PM #

    “La” sounds like “Da” in most parts of the South…

    Looks like we are picking up right where we left off against NW….

  22. wufpup76 12/07/2013 at 2:18 PM #

    Looks like there’s gonna be plenty of offense and transition today …

  23. Rick 12/07/2013 at 2:18 PM #

    Does Dorsey have kh on his shoes?

  24. wufpup76 12/07/2013 at 2:25 PM #

    ^Haha probably

  25. Rick 12/07/2013 at 2:26 PM #

    Vandy making a difference

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