UNC opens a 2.5 favorite over State

The Wynn has Carolina opening as a 3.0 point favorite over the Wolfpack for Saturday’s renewal of the rivalry (at noon). Other sports books are at 2.0 points. Blend them together, and you get an opening line of 2.5 points for the Tar heels.

Link to VegasInsider

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39 Responses to UNC opens a 2.5 favorite over State

  1. Classof89 11/15/2010 at 10:22 AM #

    anybody who sat through that miserable game in Charlotte where UNC beat us with a 3rd string QB who had been a RB prior to that game realizes that it doesn’t really matter who is out injured and who has to play when we play them…

  2. BJD95 11/15/2010 at 10:43 AM #

    If we beat the Holes, then I hope the Noles absolutely demolish the Turtles so they are demoralized for the finale. I think the lack of incentive/motivation greatly outweighs the lack of being tight because of the stakes. Esepcially for a team like Maryland that I really, truly don’t believe to be any good.

  3. ADVENTUROO 11/15/2010 at 10:50 AM #

    I am cautiously optimist about the game. But, I think that Tony Hanes and Tom O’Brein (in a RED BLAZER?) summed it up last night on the TOB show. The lopsided win against WFU was the result of a lot of things going our way. TOB said that Irvin and Wilson carried the defense and the offense, respectfully, on their backs. When Nate breaks Mario’s record, you know that boy was pumped up. For those of us who saw the “tackle” (where they almost had to bring out a CAT Bobcat (what a contradiction) to pull the lad out of the hole that Nate drove him into, we collectively held our breath and HOPED that no flag would fly. It was a great clean hit, but it looked ugly. Even TOB commented that, thankfully, the boy was OK. They showed it 4 times last night.

    If a little bit of the Senior Day adrenelin can be bottled and distributed during the pre-game next week, then all will be well. UNC is playing extremely well (now don’t call me a closet Tarheel) on the field. We did not, when we had our unfortunate “when will they pull the plug on Amato” period, play with that much poise. The UNC team must really be into the Kool Aid that Coach will stay and like, Ms. Scarlett, there’s always TOMORROW.

    SO, we need to go over there pumped up and FULLY cognizant that they could really embarass (SHOW OUR BARE ASSES) ourselves. If we go in with the “we’ve got a job to do” and if we do it, we will prevail attitude, then we WILL PREVAIL.

    Going to Charleston to watch Sid and the boys….looking forward to Saturday’s game.


  4. 61Packer 11/15/2010 at 11:06 AM #

    Going to Charlotte with anything less than a 9-3 record will be a waste of time as far as I’m concerned.

  5. Whiteshoes67 11/15/2010 at 11:17 AM #

    Spread sounds right to me. Not saying we’ll lose or win, but the inconsistency that really defines this team and season so far means we could very well go in and dominate, lay an egg, or do what we usually do, and choose to show up and play 2-3 quarters, have our heads in our arse the other, and consequently squeak out a win or leave with an L. For many reasons, Pack needs to finish this season strong, not limp into the ACC championship game or some mediocre bowl.

  6. BJD95 11/15/2010 at 11:35 AM #

    I don’t care about limping into the ACC title game, as long as we win it.

    Oddly enough, I feel increasingly confident about each game. UNC is probably a coin flip, but I have a bad feeling in general. Pretty sure we beat Maryland. Almost certain we beat VT in a hypothetical rematch.

  7. Daily Update 11/15/2010 at 11:52 AM #

    BJD95: You are right about pulling for FSU if we beat UNC.

    UNC is coming off of a very difficult stretch of games. 10 straight weeks, with the last two against FSU and VT. They struggled with W&M and lost to Miami recently too.

    We had the ECU game, then a week off, then a Thursday game vs. Clemson, then an extra few days before Clemson, then an easy win over WF at home this weekend. We are healthier and deeper.

    Both teams will be very motivated.

  8. Bowlpack 11/15/2010 at 12:02 PM #

    I can’t even think about the various scenarios at the moment. My focus is on my hope that the streets of Chapel Hill run red with the blood of the Tarheel faithful. Apologies, of course, to my Carolina-loving in-laws and wife.

    If we can keep Dwight Jones and Jheranie Boyd under wraps and keep after Yates with pressure from our LBs then I think we can keep their somewhat surprising offense in check. We will probably get burned on at least one end around play and will hopefully not get fooled twice. Yates is going to make some mistakes, but Russell will have to be very sharp and not try to force too much to counter that. I’d love it if we can establish the run early and just pound them into submission by the end of the first half, but our success has been in the passing game.

  9. wolfman1959 11/15/2010 at 12:07 PM #

    As long as I have been a WOLFPACK fan , I have NEVER felt comfortable projecting a winner in this rivalry game ……There is nothing I would like more than having my traditional post game celebratory feast after a victory over the Tarholes……I hope and pray that I am pleasantly surprised and have a great Saturday evening to celebrate a victory over the Tarholes…..meanwhile I am headed down to Charleston to watch the basketball team and I hope they thoroughly DESTROY the Jeff(Tarhole) Lebo coached ECU Pirates !!!!! Go get em boys !! A little payback for that overtime football victory the pirates managed to pull out !!!! GO WOLFPACK !!!

  10. Homeboy 11/15/2010 at 12:56 PM #

    Keys to this game:

    -the Pack needs to get some turnovers…UNC had 6 against VT, and while 2-3 of them were of the odd, fluky variety, they were the difference in the game. That defense is still pretty stout, and the 26 points against VT were mostly the result of turnovers.

    -the Pack needs to get pressure on Yates. That O-line is mediocre at best, but when Yates has time to throw, he’s quite good. When he’s flushed, he’s quite not good.

    -Convert on 3rd down. I watched most of the VT-UNC game, and Taylor had all month to throw because UNC only rushed 4 most plays, trying to contain the QB rush. It didn’t work much, especially as Taylor (who is less accurate than Wilson) could stand back and have all day to find the open man, especially on 3rd down. UNC’s def-coordinator is usually very conservative (few blitzes, lots of prevent-style defense in the 2nd half), and Wilson will have time to throw.

    -Special teams. UNC’s kick coverage is pretty bad; the Pack should take advantage. Also: don’t pull an FSU and miss field goals.

    there you have it, TOB…your game plan to win on Saturday.

  11. Phang 11/15/2010 at 2:33 PM #

    I want to see Nate do that head stand thing he did, only to TJ this time.

  12. tvp1 11/15/2010 at 2:45 PM #

    I have a season-long contest with a few of my friends where we bet fake money on college football games each week. We each pick 3-5 lines we like and bet as much as we want from our hypothetical bankroll. So far I have doubled my bankroll this year, so I’d like to think I know what I’m doing somewhat.

    And I just put a hefty fake bet on the Pack.

    I just don’t see Wilson and Irving spoiling their perfect record against the Holes with so much on the line. Watch those two will us to victory on Saturday.

    We are far more likely to blow the Maryland game, IMO. That game scares me to death.

  13. wolfman1959 11/15/2010 at 3:16 PM #

    Phang Says:
    November 15th, 2010 at 2:33 pm
    I want to see Nate do that head stand thing he did, only to TJ this time.

    Awesome comment Phang !!! It is a shame he can’t do it to Ryan Houston…but with the academic/cheating scandal redshirt that Houston is going to take this year…I guess Yates will have to be Nates poster child !!!!!

  14. mwcric 11/16/2010 at 1:33 PM #

    The analytical wagerer in me, with all things being equal, sees a line of NCSU -5 or -5.5, with a total around 50.5 or 51 – something like a 28-23 NSCU win.

    The emotional lifelong NCSU supporter in me sees Murphy’s Law refusing to relinquish its death grip that it’s had on the athletic department’s collective throat for the last 20 years. Wouldn’t be surprised at all to see UNC pull out some b.s. last-second heroics similar to what ECU did. Then the team mails it in versus Maryland the next week. I’ve never been too impressed with O’Brien in big, meaningful games.

    Nevertheless, as a gambler I would take the Pack as a 2.5-point underdog to win outright.

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