2010 ACC AET Index Games (Week 7)

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Game 1: Boston College at Florida State (12:00 ESPN)

Look at the 2010 ACC AET Index to see each school’s Index Number and how it was achieved.  I will be using updated weekly numbers to reflect the current week’s Depth Charts.

  • Boston College = 7.4
  • Florida State = 5.8

Referring back to the 2006-2009 AET Index you’ll see that the Home Field Advantage (HFA) factor is -1.6, which was developed using 2006-2008 data.  Including 2009 data the HFA factor is -1.5.  So we subtract 1.5 from Florida State who is the Home team and we get:

  • Boston College = 7.4
  • Florida State = 4.3

Florida State is still the favorite to win this matchup with a 3.1 advantage.

Now looking back at how coaches fare as Favorites and Underdogs, 2006-2009 ACC AET Index, (plus 2010 game results to this point) we see the following:

  • Spaziani is (0-3) as the Underdog on the road.
  • Fisher is (1-0) as the Favorite at home.

Game 2: Maryland at Clemson (12:00 Raycom)

Updated AET Index Numbers:

  • Maryland = 8.0
  • Clemson = 5.0

HFA Factor:

  • Maryland = 8.0
  • Clemson = 3.5

Clemson is still the favorite to win this matchup with a 4.5 advantage.

  • Friedgen is (4-8) as the Underdog on the road.
  • Swinney is (5-2) as the Favorite at home.

Game 3: Miami at Duke (1:00 ESPN3.com)

Updated AET Index Numbers:

  • Miami = 2.8
  • Duke = 6.2

HFA Factor:

  • Miami = 2.8
  • Duke = 4.7

Miami is still the favorite to win this matchup with a 1.9 advantage.

  • Shannon is (3-6) as the Favorite on the road.
  • Cutcliffe is (0-0) as the Underdog at home.

Game 4: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech (3:30 ESPNU)

Updated AET Index Numbers:

  • Wake Forest = 8.4
  • Virginia Tech = 9.2

HFA Factor:

  • Wake Forest = 8.4
  • Virginia Tech = 7.7

Virginia Tech becomes the favorite to win this matchup with a 0.7 advantage.

  • Grobe is (6-9) as the Underdog on the road.
  • Beamer is (7-0) as the Favorite at home.

Game 5: North Carolina at Virginia (6:00 ESPN3.com)

Updated AET Index Numbers: (UNC AET Index number reflects loss of Austin, Little, Quinn permanently)

  • North Carolina = 3.0
  • Virginia = 6.6

HFA Factor:

  • North Carolina = 3.0
  • Virginia = 5.1

North Carolina is still the favorite to win this matchup with a 2.1 advantage.

  • Davis is (2-3) as the Favorite on the road.
  • London is (0-0) as the Underdog at home.

About 1.21 Jigawatts

Class of '98, Mechanical Engineer, State fan since arriving on campus and it's been a painful ride ever since. I live by the Law of NC State Fandom, "For every Elation there is an equal and opposite Frustration."

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3 Responses to 2010 ACC AET Index Games (Week 7)

  1. Daily Update 10/15/2010 at 10:20 AM #

    This is really cool. So when you say favorite/underdog then you are referencing the spread as determined by the AET and not the official betting lines?

    It would be interesting to track your findings vs. actual point spread as well.

  2. StateFans 10/15/2010 at 10:45 AM #

    That is correct. I can’t see a correlation to this and the betting lines.

  3. 1.21 Jigawatts 10/15/2010 at 11:05 AM #

    Right, there is zero correlation between this and betting lines. There’s no way Duke or VT would have a betting line where their Index number.

    If a coach/team won all the games they were favored and lost all the games they were underdogs then you’d have an inverse relationship and end up with a score (see the coaches records) of Zero. The best I’ve been able to use this for is determing if a coach is succeeding with what they have? And what they have is translated into a number which is the AET Index.

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