ACC’s expansion plan isn’t much of a plan

“Opportunities never come to those who wait. They are captured by those who dare to attack.”

This quote pretty much sums up what the ACC is doing right now with regards to expansion. A whole lot of nothing. It’s a shame too, because I definitely think the ACC has — or maybe had — the potential to join the Pac-10 in becoming one of the new Super Conferences which will start shaping college sports very soon. That potential is surely down the drain at this point and, in my opinion, the ACC is going to be extremely lucky to get out of this latest round of expansion unscathed. Maryland, Georgia Tech, Clemson, FSU, Miami and even Duke and Carolina have all been rumored to be on the radar of other major conferences. Can you imagine if even half of those teams left for greener pastures? I can.

WRAL’s Tim Hall talked about NC State’s “plan” in a blog post on Fankind this morning.

The ACC is not going to be an aggressor in this game, but it will react to expansion if it has to. Dinich said that philosophy has not changed since ACC commissioner John Swofford spoke about it a month ago.

“I think we’re very happy where we are as 12 and very happy with the 12 that we have. But at the same time I don’t think any conference would be doing its due diligence if you stuck your head in the sand,” Swofford told the Orlando Sentinel. “And we will not do that. We will be very aware and conscious of what’s going on around us and what the potentialities may be in terms of changes.”

So the ACC will react if it has to. In a matter of a month there might not be anything left to react to. The Pac-10 and the Big Ten may already be 16-team power leagues, and the SEC might come knocking on the door of ACC schools. But in the meantime what is the ACC supposed to do? Invite over an SEC team? No one is going to leave a large TV contract for a smaller one.

ESPN’s Heather Dinich also touched on expansion recently, discussing the committee the ACC has put together to “keep an eye” on expansion.

The conference confirmed that an ad-hoc committee comprised of university presidents, athletic directors and faculty representatives was formed this spring to monitor expansion and lead the discussions should the conference need to react. The ACC has no plans on being an aggressor in any of this, though, and nothing has changed since commissioner John Swofford spoke at the league spring meetings.

Lead the discussions should the conference need to react? SHOULD THE CONFERENCE NEED TO REACT? Really? Hey John, here’s some free advice. The ACC NEEDS to react, and quick.

It really is a shame that Swofford has chosen not to be more proactive with this latest round of changes in college sports. Who cares if it’s been just seven years since the ACC made changes? In the real world you have to change and adapt all the time if you want to keep up. Why should sports be any different?

The ACC could have very easily been one of the leaders in all of this and gone after some Big East teams as early as a couple years ago when these rumors first started catching on. Pittsburgh, Rutgers, West Virginia and Syracuse would make the ACC better in football and basketball and improve the conferences TV power in the eastern time zone. That’s just one possibility, there are dozens more. But no, the ACC has decided to sit on its hands and do nothing. I wonder how long it took to come up with that plan? My guess is less than five minutes.

The next couple of weeks will be a crucial time for all of college athletics, and the ACC better get ready. Despite its failure to be proactive in this the ACC can still save itself to a degree and prepare for the changes which will happen in the next few days. Make some phone calls to Big East schools. Try and figure out what the SEC is thinking. Do anything besides what you’ve done to this point.

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42 Responses to ACC’s expansion plan isn’t much of a plan

  1. theghost 06/12/2010 at 12:17 AM #

    Lee, you’re talking like the ACC holds the cards with ESPN on renegotiations. I don’t know what the contracts say, but I can’t believe ESPN lawyers locked into paying big TV football money regardless of which schools the ACC has. More likely, whatever new money goes into SEC coffers gets renegotiated out of the ACC’s hide – do you think Swofford can squeeze ESPN for big $ for the likes of Clemson/unc and MD/BC rivalries (not to mention duke, VA, Wake, and our own less than formidable football offering)? So if the SEC gets $60M more, guess who gets $60M (or $80M) less? Heck, with that lineup, ACC may end up on Versus.

    You also assume that the SEC doesn’t lose some luster if the PAC-10 becomes a football equal. They’re not looking to make more money, they’re looking to stay on top. A PAC-10 with TX, OK, USC, UCLA could be argued equal to today’s SEC, and that’s not good for the SEC when it comes to TV dollars, or recruiting, or bowl bids. But with AL, FL, TN, GA, LSU… AND Miami, VT, A+M, maybe fsu (although I still think they’re too scared, even without st. booby), nobody competes with you. The Texas TV market helps, but I don’t think it’s about expansion. It’s about staying a step ahead.

    The reports tonight are Big 12 South to the PAC-10, but don’t be surprised if the SEC makes a play for at least A+M or OU before it’s over, and UT if they can get’em.

  2. theghost 06/12/2010 at 12:44 AM #

    One other note – OU and OSU are signalling they’ll follow TX either way, but A+M may stand on it’s own. Note that Gene Stallings is on the A+M Board of Regents, and he strongly favors the SEC, and wouldn’t mind at all thumbing his nose at Texas either.

    What we don’t know is whether Mike Slive has already fired and missed at winning TX, or whether his best shot is forthcoming. But I think the outcome of that one will significantly affect what happens to the ACC, for better or worse.

  3. 66pack 06/12/2010 at 8:20 AM #

    the media is now running the show and they will determine who will be first ,second and third tier.they are going to put their limited dollars to work where they get the most return which means strong big ten,pac 10 and sec.what is left over is not of their concern.if unc,fsu and miami will increase the value of the sec then they will be desired by those who write the checks ie corporate america.the ncsu’s of college sports who have become or are irrevelant will be relegated to third tier conferences with no media money.

  4. VaWolf82 06/12/2010 at 8:53 AM #

    A PAC-10 with TX, OK, USC, UCLA could be argued equal to today’s SEC, and that’s not good for the SEC when it comes to TV dollars, or recruiting, or bowl bids.

    I don’t buy this line of argument. TX and OU are good programs. They will garner bowl bids and TV dollars no matter what conference they play in. Just because they join the Pac-10, doesn’t somehow lessen UF, UT, LSU, or Ala. Just because the Pac-10 improves their conference and their TV ratings, there is no reason to think that it will lessen the value of the SEC TV contract.

  5. Rochester 06/12/2010 at 9:15 AM #

    I hate the expansion. I have a feeling in time it will backfire on many of these schools and conferences. I’d rather contract. Twelve teams is already too many. A 16- or 18-team conference prohibits true rivalries, which is what college sports are all about. How will ESPN cope if the ACC ever gets so big that UNC and Duke only play once a year?

    As in most things, there is what is most lucrative and what is right, and here they are not the same thing. College conferences should be regional, and I don’t mean a region as in “North America.” These are still student athletes, who miss less class time with a three-hour bus ride than a flight across three time zones. And the home-and-home in basketball keeps rivalries fresh and meaningful. It’s nice when fans can travel with their team for a big game without having to pay for air fare and a hotel and taking time off from work.

    I’m too addicted to NC State basketball to ever give it up, but it will sadden me if we move to 16 teams. At least now we can’t finish lower than 12th.

  6. packalum44 06/12/2010 at 9:20 AM #

    Too bad we don’t have a dog in the fight. We’re like the short skinny nerdy white guy who gets picked last at a pickup game.

  7. VaWolf82 06/12/2010 at 9:36 AM #

    A 16- or 18-team conference prohibits true rivalries, which is what college sports are all about.

    Mitigating points:

    Larger conferences don’t necessarily destroy historical rivalries. At worst, you may not see the match-up every year (or twice in BB). To date, I can’t think of a rivalry that has been seriously damaged by conference expansion.

    A rivalry is only important when both teams are good. Thus some years the rivalry game is only important to the underdog team hoping for a big upset.

    A larger conference increases the chances of having big conference games with title implications…which is alot more interesting to the fans.

  8. NOT A FAN OF BLUE 06/12/2010 at 12:29 PM #

    Let’s go on the offense. Let’s go after the Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas teams in the Big 12. Then let’s steal a few more Big East teams. Make the ACC the dominant league. Why not?

  9. 61Packer 06/12/2010 at 1:33 PM #

    I can’t see Texas going to the SEC. They’d have to beat out both Alabama and LSU every season just to get a title shot at either Florida, Tennessee or Georgia. In the Pac-10, only Oklahoma would stand in their way to the league title game. OU has to go to Dallas each season to play Texas- advantage Longhorns. And where else could a conference title game loser get a bigger payout than in a Rose Bowl bearth?

    I think Texas and Oklahoma are going to the Pac-10. Oklahoma State and Texas Tech have indicated they’ll follow the money. Texas A&M should think hard before they head east instead of west. The SEC West would beat them down much worse than a Pac-10 east division ever would. And if they don’t immediately follow the other 5 teams west, Baylor will jump into that 16th slot.

    Right now, I’d hate most of all to be in Iowa State’s shoes.

  10. theghost 06/12/2010 at 3:33 PM #

    “there is no reason to think that it will lessen the value of the SEC TV contract.”

    that’s fine – I think it’s important to the SEC to be the clear best, as opposed to just one of the best. Wouldn’t mean the SEC wouldn’t be valuable, I just don’t see them getting as much of a premium. You can certainly have a different opinion.

  11. VaWolf82 06/12/2010 at 7:40 PM #

    I think it’s important to the SEC to be the clear best… I just don’t see them getting as much of a premium.

    This is just speculation with no basis to support it.

    Care to explain how an expanded Pac-10 would somehow lessen the “premium” earned with winning the last four BCS championships and 6 of the 12 championships since the BCS was formed?

  12. uconn96 06/13/2010 at 12:29 AM #

    If you visit fan blogs around the ACC, you get the sense that there is not the all the loyalty or cohesion that Swofford’s would like to have others believes. Fans of VT, Clemson, FSU, Miami talk of jumping to SEC; Maryland and BC fans talk of the possibilities of being part of the Big Ten.

    Being an UConn fan, I know first hand how a raid from another conference can leave a fan feeling blind-sided. As an outside observer, it seems to me the fans of NC schools seems to be the most loyal to the ACC. But I would offer a caution to NC state fans who think their the view on how you see the league is shared by all your ACC brethren.

    My feeling is that the ACC should be more proactive and go for 16 schools combining the best from the ACC and BE. In this way ensuring your own health and viability as a conference. With the addition of UConn, Pitt, ‘Cuse, and USF; the ACC would truly be the Atlantic Coast Conference running from Maine to Florida with no gaps.

    FYI… to show a little love for UConn, which I do not feel gets enough consideration from a lot of ACC blogs, UConn would be a perfect school for the ACC. It is the top public school in New England, a great rival for BC, great B-ball from both men and women sides, we have and up and coming football program, the Hartford/New Haven is the 29th largest TV market, CT has number one per capital income amongst all the 50 states, and is home to ESPN and many other great companies filled with UConn alums. CT companies like GE, United Tech., Aetna, Stanley, Terex, Xerox, Carrier, …even the WWE, …etc. can offer advertising dollars that can help promote lucrative TV contracts.

  13. Wulfpack 06/13/2010 at 8:18 AM #

    The biggest winner in all of this will be the Mountain West.

  14. uconn96 06/13/2010 at 9:54 AM #

    The MWC might be better than it was before, but if you look at TV market share (which seems to driving all this realignment) then leftover schools of either the BE or ACC will still be in a better position in regards TV market share. UConn, Pitt, Cuse, USF, are all in the top 50 TV markets, while most of the MWC do not break into the top 150 of TV market share!

    …Which translates into the fact the leftover schools of BE will still have an advantage when it comes to trying to keep its BCS bid. Don’t believe me?… then check this website of TV market share out (http://www.tvb.org/rcentral/markettrack/us_hh_by_dma.asp) ACC would be foolish not to try to pick up some of the best the BE has to offer, especially UConn.

  15. GoldenChain 06/13/2010 at 1:31 PM #

    Somewhere out there CD Chesley is laughing himself silly!

  16. gcpack 06/13/2010 at 11:11 PM #

    I’m curious to know if many of you here think that Swofford is still the man for the job as head of the A C C?

    I dont think he has really been all that great of a commisioner. The initial expansion was bungled when he was forced to get two more teams after getting Miami. Either he thought he could get away with having a championship game with only ten teams or he didn’t know it at first.

    Then in deference to fanless Boston College he manages to tell the Gator Bowl no thanks but he garners a bowl game in DC . Probably the poorest decision in conference bowl negotiations history.

    Finally the low quality of officiating displayed primarily in football (& more recently in baseball) has been a on going issue for many years.

    My point is that Swofford’s ability to lead the ACC is questionable & if the ACC is going to maintain its position as a leading conference the first start is to put Swofford out to pasture & hire a more capable business mind.

  17. DC_wolf 06/15/2010 at 11:08 PM #

    “Let’s go on the offense. Let’s go after the Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas teams in the Big 12. Then let’s steal a few more Big East teams. Make the ACC the dominant league.”

    Hot off the press: New Hampshire, Vermont, and Maine express interest in the ACC –

    http://www.dontyoubelieveit.com/

    Now the ACC can compete nationally for equestrian championships!

    Folks, that whole raiding of the Big East embarrassment that happened in the early 2000’s was supposed to “make us more competitive” as a football conference. Does anyone feel like we’re more competitive a decade later? I’ve only witnessed Miami fall off the prominence cliff.

    If you just support and give back to the university that you want to see succeed – concentrate on seeing NCSU compete for national titles – and be a great day-in-day-out representive of the school as an alum, the rest will take care of itself.

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