Last Look at the Bubble

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This topic contains 19 replies, has 5 voices, and was last updated by  choppack1 3 years, 6 months ago.

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  • #100780

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    It’s time for our last look at RPI Rankings as we assess where the ACC teams fit with respect to the Bubble.
    [See the full post at: Last Look at the Bubble]

    #100783

    ncsu1987
    Participant

    Well done, as always. Don’t understand it, but believe UNx will get 1-seed if they make it to Sunday.

    Thanks for all the work that goes into these all year, I always look forward to them.

    #100794

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    The Selection Committee does make mistakes from time to time. But the committee is made up of athletic directors and conference commissioners. I choose to believe that their goal is to give every team a fair chance; because they would want their team(s) to have that same fair chance.

    I hope that they don’t listen to Lundardi because his goals are less clear and frequently look like he is just trolling for more clicks to this bracket.

    I don’t always agree with the Dance Card either, but I do wish the committee would at least give it a glance as a quick sanity check on their decisions. If they had looked at it last year, they would have seen that their decisions on Temple and UCLA could probably use another check.

    #100801

    Texpack
    Participant

    If you are a Bubble Watch fanatic, tune in to the AAC Tournament where no less than 4 and possibly 5 bubble teams are playing. Add to that the fact that SMU is not playing and you have a tourney that could see a lot of blood on the court as teams scap and claw to stay alive in virtually every contest.

    #100808

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    I started to list the smaller conferences that will still get multiple bids; but decided not to.

    In the American, Cincinnati, Temple, and Tulsa are above the burst line on the Dance Card. If anyone else wins, then a bubble spot might disappear….but then that assumes that someone like Tulsa will keep their spot. In the end, I decided that there were too many moving parts to try and project all of the possibilities for all the mid-majors.

    #100810

    choppack1
    Participant

    Looks like buzz Williams went to the Seth Greenberg school of scheduling….

    10-8 and needing to win at least 2 games in the tournament to be considered.

    #100811

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    Buzz’s schedule was not quite Seth-bad (ie 300+); but a long ways from being good. This year, VT suffered the same mishap as Clemson…weak OOC schedule (ranked #255) and a poor performance against that schedule (8-5).

    #100819

    choppack1
    Participant

    Yea – vawolf – if I recall Seth usually lost a couple of those games each year…like losing to Radford or something like that.

    #100848

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    3 number one seeds have been upset in their conference tournaments. The bubble either just got smaller OR we know some of the teams that the bozo, talking-heads will be whining about. Gonzaga vs ST Mary’s today for another possible upset.

    http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/ncaab-the-dagger/conference-tournament-carnage-may-weaken-the-ncaa-tourney-field-051517536.html

    #100849

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    Syracuse has fallen to the last team above the burst line on the Dance Card AND Pitt is only five slots back. Things are not looking good for the loser of their game tomorrow.

    http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

    #100856

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    I enjoyed King Rice losing to V’s old “I own a college” last night, that’s for sure.

    Weak assed bubble this year.

    #100858

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    Dance Card has the three conference one-seeds (Valpo, Monmouth, Wichita St) as out. They probably all three won’t get left out, but I can hear the whining Sunday over the ones that do.

    #100995

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    Gonzaga beats St Marys to throw another mid-major into bubble hell.

    At half-time of that game, Lunardi’s last four in were Syracuse and three conference one-seeds that were beaten in their conference tourney. The whining by the media will be epic this year because there will be so little difference between one team and the next that everyone looking for an excuse to bitch will have someone that they can champion.

    #100996

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster
    #100997

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    I don’t go to CBS very often, but I do like Jerry Palm. Interesting trivia about stats and at-large selections.

    http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/eye-on-college-basketball/25505343/bracketolgy-ncaa-tournament-rpi-numbers-to-know-through-the-years

    #100998

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    Palms thoughts on the ACC as of yesterday:

    ACC

    When: Tuesday-Saturday

    Number of teams currently in: 7

    In: Duke, Miami, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Virginia

    Probably in: Pitt

    On the fence: Syracuse

    Outlook: The ACC is a classic example of how conference standings mean nothing. Pitt, Syracuse, Florida State and Georgia Tech all finished behind Clemson and Virginia Tech, but all have at least a long-shot chance at an at-large bid, while the Tigers and Hokies would have to win the tournament to get in. The loser of the Pitt-Syracuse game will have a nervous Selection Sunday. North Carolina and Virginia still have a chance to be No. 1 seeds.

    #101170

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    Palm on Syracuse

    It’s going to be a long week, and especially selection Sunday, for the Orange. Syracuse is now 19-13 overall, and while it has four top 50 wins, the Orange are just 13-12 against the RPI top 200, and that does not include a loss to St. John’s. Their RPI has dropped to 65 at the moment..

    Syracuse fans have been hoping for “consideration” for the nine games coach Jim Boeheim missed…, but… Boeheim isn’t scoring or rebounding or playing defense. It would be foolish to count on Boeheim’s absence having any positive effect on Syracuse’s hope for selection.

    http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/eye-on-college-basketball/25510081/bracketology-bubble-watch-syracuse-needs-victory-more-than-pitt

    #101171

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    His view on Pitt (same article)

    It’s a sigh of relief for the Panthers, who have now defeated the Orange all three times they played this season. Pitt still does not have a great record against the top 50 (2-6), but is still likely to get in. A win over North Carolina in the next round would seal the deal.

    #101172

    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    As expected, Pitt moved up in the Dance Card and Syracuse is the third team out. GT is the fourth team out.

    #101190

    choppack1
    Participant

    Pitt is awful. Kind of shows that getting a bid isn’t the end all / be all.

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