NC State 73, Virginia Tech 63 – Wolfpack Takes Key Step Back into Top 40

Sidney Lowe continued his mastery of “Basketball Grobe” tonight as the NC State Wolfpack won for the third time in the last four games. The Wolfpack is now 15-7 with an ACC record that now stands at .500 at 4-4.

NC State never trailed in route to our second consecutive win over a team ahead of us in the Atlantic Coast Conference standings. The Wolfpack hit 5-of-6 free throws in the final minute to seal the ten point win JJ Hickson delivering as needed, finishing 13-of-17 from the free-throw line. The Associated Press has their story about tonight’s game posted. ACCNow has these comments.

The win propels NC State back into a solid RPI of #40 while playing against the 31st toughest schedule in America. NC State has now defeated NINE teams currently rated in the RPI’s Top 100 as we wait and hope for Rider (currently #106) to battle back under the century ranking on their way to (hopefully winning a) conference championship.

Historically, a Top 40 RPI is particularly important for major-conference teams. In fact, over the last seven years only ten teams with RPIs of 40 or better have failed to make the NCAA Tournament — 280 teams have finished in the Top 40; 270 teams of those teams have made the NCAA Tournament.

Of those 10 misses, only three teams were from top power conferences and NONE were from the Atlantic Coast Conference (which is currently rated as the toughest conference in the country). Those teams that failed to make the Tournament were the following:

* In 2001 – #40 Mississippi State was 16-12 and 5-5 in their last 10 games

* In 2004 – #38 LSU was 18-10 and only 4-6 in their last 10 games

* In 2006 – #40 Cincinnati was 18-12 and 5-5 in their last 10 games (and were in national turmoil with the Huggins stuff)

Six teams that missed the dance with RPIs of 40 or better were: Hofstra, Missouri State (twice), Bradley and Air Force and Creighton. Hardly big names that would correlate to an ACC program.

EVERY team from a major conference who has achieved an RPI of better than #38 has been extended an NCAA Tournament bid. It may not be causation, but there certainly is some high correlation that makes it work watching.

State now owns 6th place in the conference standings and finally has an extra day off before traveling to Maryland for a huge game on Saturday night. The Terps have been playing excellent basketball on their way to an 8-2 record in their last ten games since December 28th. IMHO, a quick look at the rest of Maryland’s schedule can easily lead one ot believe that the Terps are on their way to securing an NCAA Tournament berth despite their exceptionally poor early-season performance. In light of the Wolfpack’s exceptionally tough remaining schedule, State could really benefit from picking up a win in at least one of our next two games that are both on the road – Saturday at Maryland and Thursday at Boston College.

Coach Lowe is now an impressive 4-0 against Seth Greenberg. Does one really wonder why Greenberg was such a vocal supporter of former NC State Head Coach, Herb Sendek, and took the liberty to make negative comments about NC State fans after Sendek left Raleigh in April of 2006?

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07-08 Basketball

100 Responses to NC State 73, Virginia Tech 63 – Wolfpack Takes Key Step Back into Top 40

  1. highstick 02/05/2008 at 9:18 PM #

    Good win, although very ugly in the second half. I was holding my breath everytime Fells touched the ball. I just don’t understand how someone with his athletic abilities can’t hold on to the ball. Maybe his hands get in the way???

  2. RAWFS 02/05/2008 at 9:22 PM #

    Basketball IQ. Simple as that, IQ. Courtney should know better than to do a lot of the stuff he does, but he continually does it.

    In fact, I see a lack of basketball IQ in a number of our players, but they’re winning right now so I can’t complain too much.

  3. doug74 02/05/2008 at 9:26 PM #

    I have no problem with a 10 point win. Great job guys.

  4. RAWFS 02/05/2008 at 9:28 PM #

    Looking at the bright side, we never trailed in this one.

  5. cWOhLFrPAiCKs 02/05/2008 at 9:29 PM #

    True, but if we can’t learn to play 40 minutes of basketball, we’ll continue to lose to the likes of Duke and UNX…

  6. WestCoast 02/05/2008 at 9:32 PM #

    We looked good. You had to expect a bounce back by VT in the 2nd half. We play like that against UNC and Duke, we’re in the game with a chance to win. Gonzalez is looking more and more confident.

  7. McPete 02/05/2008 at 9:33 PM #

    javier lopez led the team with 5 rebounds. it’s sad to say this team looks better w/o Brandon Costner. i think tracy smith is a more fiesty rebounder than BC.

  8. Sweet jumper 02/05/2008 at 9:41 PM #

    Way to take care of business Pack. Javi made MJ a role player tonight. He established himself as the point guard of this team.

  9. RotinaJ 02/05/2008 at 9:43 PM #

    I agree with RAWFS. Although we won by 10, we continued to show that we are just not a smart basketball team. We had 21 field goals and 22 turnovers in that game. Pathetic. As much as I love this team, we repeatedly make terrible decisions. I don’t like to single one player out, but we really really can’t afford to have Grant committing so many turnovers as a senior, even if they are forgotten due to his tendency for heroics.

    The amount of turnovers we have is putting strain on our already existing lack of chemistry because so many or our possessions are being cut short. I am glad that we found a way to win, but we still have a long way to go if we want to become a top program.

  10. beowolf 02/05/2008 at 9:44 PM #

    Second win in a row over an ACC team ahead of us in the standings.

  11. cWOhLFrPAiCKs 02/05/2008 at 9:44 PM #

    Javi continues to improve at the point. It may not have been what we were all hoping to see at this point in the year, but the injury to Degand may end up helping us in the long run. This critical playing time for Javi really seems to be having an effect not only in his confidence but also in his stroke and passing. If we can play tougher D in the second half, it will be a good final 8 games. GO PACK!

  12. JeremyH 02/05/2008 at 9:45 PM #

    cWOhLFrPAiCKs: why even compare ourselves to Duke/Carolina?? They recruit genetically superior players that can play hard for 40 minutes. Our guys are from the left-over genetic mess that created Danny DeVito (remember Twins?), that get tired and take plays off.

  13. JeremyH 02/05/2008 at 9:47 PM #

    genotypes aside, just look at that box score, big contributions from the big fellow, and just balanced scoring across our guards and forwards. I think we hit a groove tonight.

  14. cWOhLFrPAiCKs 02/05/2008 at 9:48 PM #

    EASY ANSWER: We play both of them 4 times this year and at least 3 times every year. They are both within 50 miles of us. Who else should we compare ourselves to?

  15. Texpack 02/05/2008 at 9:50 PM #

    Gonzales is learning more and more about how and where to get the ball to his team mates. The spacing, movement, and passing angles looked a lot better tonight. The cutesy passes to open the second half from just about everybody trying to force the ball to JJ helped VT out a lot.

    We are definitely improving. Our defense has gotten a good bit better but we still play non-shooters way too tight out at the 3-pt line.

    If Sidney wants me to I can go teach my “man-ball-basket” drills to teach these guys how to play a help style man-to-man.

  16. EverettBeez 02/05/2008 at 9:54 PM #

    Back from cocktails, many, for Fat Tuesday, and only read the box score. With out reading all the other comments in the other link – why did BC not play? Actually glad to see that. Great to see Javi start in front of MJ. The young man deserves that. scoring looked balanced, free throws looked great, box score makes it look like VPI can’t hit the side of a barn, thank goodness. YOU kidding me with the turnovers? man, those FT saved us.

    How was the crowd?

  17. StateFans 02/05/2008 at 9:54 PM #

    Blog entry has been updated with some important numbers that will be interest to everyone.

  18. beowolf 02/05/2008 at 9:59 PM #

    Thanks for the update, SFN. Those are interesting numbers.

    P.S. Check your email.

  19. EverettBeez 02/05/2008 at 10:04 PM #

    I am going to pass those numbers & the your link to Ole Miss blog I read. This is of great concern to us Rebels, as we watch our very young team struggle.

    thanks, as always for all the hard work you fellas put into this. Its an eduction with every click.

  20. Astral Rain 02/05/2008 at 10:10 PM #

    I’m a little worried still.

    Road wins are going to be very important

    If State goes 3-1, they can brick UNC, Duke, and clemson and end up .500

    2-2, they have to upset one

    This is assuming the 4th home opponent, whoever it is doesn’t pull one off here.

    I think State needs to win both road games to be seriously considered.

  21. Stoner 02/05/2008 at 10:20 PM #

    Astral Rain, the schedule going forward is really tough. The only “easy” home game is against FSU. I think we have a good possibility of going 1-3 in our next four home games, which means we need to go 3-1 on the road. I don’t think we can win at Maryland, which means we have to win on the road against Virginia, which is due to win a close game sooner or later, BC and Wake Forest, which must want to make up for the loss in Raleigh.

    Anything’s possible. I’m keeping my fingers crossed and hoping for the best. With the schedule we have, I have no expectations about wins or losses. I just want to see us go out and play and get better from game to game.

  22. JeremyH 02/05/2008 at 10:26 PM #

    Astral Rain and Stoner, I agree but it looks tougher for that team we were 3 weeks ago. For some reason I think we can take the UNC game. Anyway, what do they say: “one game at a time”. If they keep improving we won’t have to count games like this..

  23. the_phisherman 02/05/2008 at 10:26 PM #

    I think the sloppy second half was a direct result of the defensive intensity in the first half wearing these guys out. Did McCauley play the entire second half?

  24. Mr O 02/05/2008 at 10:27 PM #

    #40 RPI
    2-4 vs top 50
    7-1 vs 51-100(4 of these wins on road or at neutral sites)

    The game at Maryland is huge. While I would take any kind bid with any kind of seed in the tournament at this point, a win at Maryland would change our best case scenario significantly.

    When is the last time we won at Maryland?

  25. crackdog 02/05/2008 at 10:28 PM #

    Crowd was really good, present, and into it tonight.

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