The Wolfpack vs The Pirates (who don’t do anything)

pirates

This afternoon at 12pm (RSN) the Pirates (who are afraid of everything, Buckets, Vandwagon, Wicker furniture) will be coming to Raleigh to battle the freshly tested Wolfpack of NC State. Last time out for both squads the Pack were able to secure a big resume building victory at Tennessee while the Pie-rats finished a track-meet with VMI and came away with a 103-94 victory. NC State is 19-1 against ECU, with the lone loss coming on Dec. 8, 2007 in the Pack’s only visit to Greenville, NC. I’m still wondering if that was all just a bad dream and one day I’ll wake up and Bobby (Ewing) will still be alive. The last time I saw the Pack live was that game in Greenville and now my next game will be this one in Raleigh. Here’s to a different ending.

ECU is another rebuilding team who lost 4 starters from last year’s squad, 6 players total, one of which transferred to Georgia Tech. On top of all the graduation ECU’s lone big man this year, 6-10 SO, Marshall Guilmette, is lost for the season due to a knee injury. Guilmette, through 5 games, was performing very well and provided a low post presence for the Pirates even if his numbers weren’t jaw dropping. Now Head Coach Jeff Lebo is down to a seven man rotation with his tallest player at 6-8.

The Pirates are an uptempo team with an efficient offense. They shoot the ball well, especially from Three Land, are good at getting to the line and hitting their FT’s. They are also pretty good at defending the 3, steals, and not sending their opponent to the line – which is a good thing since they are almost as bad as the Pack at defending FT’s.

I think it’s time to put in the Big Guy.

Things ECU is bad at: defensive rebounding, blocking shots, and 2FG defense…you just know Buckets was seeing put-backs in his dreams last night…all of which leads to a bad defensive efficiency. Most of their problems on defense likely stem from the complete lack of size under the basket.

Likely Starters:

- #1 Akeem Richmond (6-0, 180, SR) Guard – Richmond hasn’t met a 3pt shot he hasn’t liked. Of the 147 FGA’s this season, only 16 have been inside the arc (49-131 3FG). He also get’s to the FT line and knocks them down (.867). Since he’s taking 26% of ECU’s shot and those are basically 3′s every time, and still he’s sporting an ORating of 124, then there’s really no point in falling for any fakes towards the basket. There also, is without a doubt, no need to go under a ball screen fellas.
- #22 Paris Campbell (6-3, 185, JR) Guard – Campbell is the lone returning starter from last year’s 23 win team. Even though Campbell has increased his possessions by 7.5% and taking nearly 9% more of ECU’s shots, this not only hasn’t slowed him down but he’s increased his ORating by 18.5 (122.7). There isn’t much Paris hasn’t done well this year and while Richmond is a (good) one trick pony around the arc, Campbell is who we should be more worried about.
- #2 Caleb White (6-6, 190, FR) Guard – White is playing great as a freshman, ORating of 126.4, 66% eFG, while only taking up 17% of the team’s possessions. He’s playing his role and doing it well, though he does seem to get into foul trouble each game.

I’ll be honest, I have no idea which of these remaining four guys will get the start since Lebo constantly shifts them so I’m just going to group them all together.

- #4 Prince Williams (6-5, 200, SO) Guard, #34 Michael Zangari (6-9, 230, SO) Forward, #25 Brandon Stith (6-7, 215, FR) Forward, #11 Antonio Robinson (6-4, 175, JR)

Of the group Stith is playing the best, he’s rebounding (especially offensive), he’s blocking, he’s shooting well, he’s just not hitting his FT’s very well. Zangari playing almost as well as Stith, just not blocking the ball like him or rebounding as well. Both the player formerly known as Prince and Robinson are great at dishing the ball, the problem is they have a tendency to dish it to both teams equally. One note about Williams is he’s taken 71 FTAs (.775) and 71 2FGAs (.493).

Richmond, Campbell, White, Stith, and Robinson all have a positive Roland Rating, while Williams and Zangari each have a negative RR.

Will NC State be able to take advantage of a clear low post height advantage or will early foul trouble plague the Pack and negate our strength in the paint? Will the Pack get caught in the classic trap game after it’s win in Knoxville and the high profile home game against Missouri next week, against an opponent who considers this their Final Four? Or will the Pack continue to make strides in improvement and not only focus on their current opponent and win but not get distracted if they get a big lead and let it slip away just to keep us watching?

KenPom likes the Pack by 11.

About 1.21 Jigawatts

Class of '98, Mechanical Engineer, State fan since arriving on campus and it's been a painful ride ever since. I live by the Law of NC State Fandom, "For every Elation there is an equal and opposite Frustration."

13-14 Basketball College Basketball

Home Forums The Wolfpack vs The Pirates (who don’t do anything)

This topic contains 168 replies, has 30 voices, and was last updated by  BJD95 3 months, 3 weeks ago.

Viewing 25 posts - 1 through 25 (of 169 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #34113

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    I hope Buckets tops 40 for the first time.

    From the morning paper – EZU has FOUR wins against DII competition. That’s just sad. Even HWSNBN would agree.

    #34114

    Alpha Wolf
    Keymaster

    I agree with Ken Pomeroy, Pack by 11, but as I said a couple of weeks ago, this has the makings of a classic trap game, with Christmas right around the corner and between much larger games.

    The obvious key here is perimeter defense, which means Barber, Lee and Turner will have to have great games without the basketball.

    #34115

    Adventuroo
    Participant

    Hopefully, there have been no changes to the floor and the NC Logo will not be there and the JumboTron will not being playing the This is OUR State spots.

    Thanks for the VERY insightful and well written article. I really enjoy these and share with others.

    I don’t want a VENGENANCE victory for the FB Team….that is their folly and they have to make amends….but I DO hope that we follow the Mikey and Roy philosophy of “Scorched Earth” and get a VERY comfortable lead and then let some OTHERS get some PT.

    GO PACK….on to the PNC for the game….

    Probably will be a LOT of Purple Clad fans there with visions of sugar plumes dancing in their head….

    #34116

    BJD95
    Keymaster
    #34117

    vtpackfan
    Participant

    Look for a plethora of whistles. TL probably gets more minutes than one would usually like- perhaps because Richmond just jacks threes will help him some on D.

    If V is going to be more then a shot blocker- glue guy- it needs to show up today. A 7 footer in this offense should have a field day against a ECU team that practically gives away 2 Pt Fg in order to get the ball back.

    Regardless the spectators should enjoy a track meet.

    #34118

    Wufpacker
    Keymaster

    Avoid the trap today and just win baby.

    Then come back strong for Mizzou (nationally ranked Mizzou, no less) next weekend.

    #34119

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Time to beat the Basketball Purple Methheads!

    Most of Purple Methhead Nation consists of Hole or Dook hoops fans, so the Pierat Riot potential is much lower than in football season.

    #34120

    Wufpacker
    Keymaster

    #34121

    redcanine
    Participant

    Hell yeah, Ice Cube!!

    Get me on the court and I’m trouble…

    #34122

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Ice Cube from back in the day, when he still pretended to be a threat to the honky establishment. Still not as bad as Flava Flav going on VH-1, though…

    #34123

    redcanine
    Participant

    And if we lose…

    #34124

    BJD95
    Keymaster
    #34125

    Wufpacker
    Keymaster

    Flav on VH-1. Oy.

    Can you imagine what he and a run down Brigitte Neilsen must have looked like behind closed doors?

    #34126

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Thanks for that wonderful nightmare fuel, Wuf. /shudders

    #34127

    Wufpacker
    Keymaster

    I’m always happy to help :)

    #34128

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    BTW, this will double as our game thread.

    #34129

    1.21 Jigawatts
    Keymaster

    FYI. It looks like all the State fans are in the upper deck and the ECU fans are on the lower level.

    #34130

    vtpackfan
    Participant

    Awful energy by the Pack to start this one.

    Awful.

    #34131

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Not our smoothest start, to put it mildly.

    #34132

    1.21 Jigawatts
    Keymaster

    Feels like not only the players are on vacation but the crowd is dead too.

    #34133

    wufpup76
    Participant

    Ecu has four points on trips where they actually (should have) turned the ball over – a carry, and a loss out of bounds not call.

    They also have five or six offensive rebounds already, and we look sh*tty against the zone. Meanwhile they are getting what they want on offense.

    Not a great start.

    #34134

    1.21 Jigawatts
    Keymaster

    12:48 19-14 Pirates
    Buckets with 10

    #34135

    wufpup76
    Participant

    That’s some suit, Jeff

    #34136

    BJD95
    Keymaster

    That Buckets fella is pretty good, though. He might go off for 60.

    #34137

    1.21 Jigawatts
    Keymaster

    Lathargic on D

Viewing 25 posts - 1 through 25 (of 169 total)

You must be logged in to reply to this topic.