Packfanistan: You’re kind of making my point. To look at this stuff, is more than just the front page. You have to take out the effect of NC State games. Let’s do that.
Luckie called 7 NC State games and 293 fouls were called in those games. Luckie’s crew averages 41.86 FPG in games where NC State is involved. He called 22 FPG against NC State.
Now that leaves 89 other games called by Luckie last year. He averaged 37.69 FPG called in those. Split that in half and that’s 19 FPG called on the average team that Luckie’s crews officiate. That means that Luckie called 16% more fouls against NC State than the average team.
Let’s look at his disqualifications due to foul outs. He fouled out 9 in our games, 6 of which were NC State players, 3 of which were Warren. So 2/3rds of those fouling out in Luckie called NC State games were NC State players, and 50% of the time, the State player that fouled out was named TJ Warren. In 7 games he fouled out 8 players, which is a rate of 1.14 DQs per game. NC State had a player foul out at a rate of .85 DQs per game. TJW fouled out at a rate of .43. Our opponents had .285 players DQ per game. That means we were 3 times as likely to have someone DQ’d as our opponents. It also means that TJW was 50% more likely to foul out than someone from the ENTIRE OTHER TEAM COMBINED.
Let’s look at his stats with NC State removed. He fouled out everyone else combined at a total rate of .85 players DQ’d per game for BOTH teams combined. That means that the average team had a foul out rate of .425 DQ’d.
Now let’s compare them:
– NC State at .85 DQs per game vs average other team at .425 DQs per game. That’s twice as likely that a NC State player is going to get DQ’d than the average team.
– TJW fouled out .425, which is the same rate as all the other teams on average. That means one guy was as likely to foul out as entire other teams.
Again, it’s not like TJW was a fouler. This is previously discussed earlier in the thread.
So, that means in a Luckie called game, if anyone was going to foul out, 2 would be from NC State, one of which would be Warren, and one would be from the other team.
Does this not stick out at you as odd, or is it just that:
– Gott doesn’t coach defense and we don’t move our feet well (insert opine by many for the clutching and grabbing by UVA and Duke and look at their foul numbers)
– Play at a high pace (see UNC foul fallacy)
Do you not see how this impacts games?
