NC STATE at SYRACUSE Preview

Time: 3:00 pm
TV: ACC Network
Announcers: Steve Martin, Mike Gminski

NC State kicks off a three game road trip, starting with flying to New York to play Syracuse in the Carrier Dome. The Pack have had some big successes in the Carrier Dome. Who can forget 1998 and Torry Holt?

Last Time Out:
Syracuse traveled to Pitt and escaped with their #1 ranking and undefeated record still intact when Tyler Ennis drains a long three as time expires to win 58-56.

ZONE, ZONE, and more ZONE. The Pack’s worst nightmare matchup (outside of trying to beat UNC at its own game without the horses to match them) has finally arrived, athletic, talented, big men who are quick and play tough zone defense and control the tempo at their slowed down pace. Gee, what DON’T they do well? Defensive Rebounding, that’s it folks. Basketball is all about matchups and momentum, M&M. (oh boy do I love the peanut variety) The Pack simply matches up poorly against the Orange so if they Pack play their typical game it will be another typical blowout against a top ranked team.

Probable Starters:
#5 CJ Fair (6-8 215 SR) Forward – Fair is not having the type of season worthy of all the POY talk that he gets but that doesn’t mean he’s not All ACC material. He only has an ORtg of 102 and an average rebounding rate and his shooting (eFG) is only 47.2%.
#11 Tyler Ennis (6-2 180 FR) Guard – Ennis is one seriously talented freshman point guard. He sports an assist rate of 32.3% coupled with a turnover rate of only 13.3. This kid is solid at running the Orange and he can play defense and score too. Ennis is just as dangerous as Fair.
#10 Trevor Cooney (6-4 195 SO) Guard – Three Point Specialist, 72% of his shots come from outside the arc and he’s good at making them (.433). Give up the 2 in favor of not letting him shoot 3’s.
#25 Rakeem Christmas (6-9 250 JR) Forward – Christmas is a shot blocking, rebounding machine that may only take 4 or 5 shots a game he’ll make most of them (.684).
#3 Jerami Grant (6-8 210 SO) Forward – Grant became the starter after DaJuan Coleman was lost for the season back in early January due to a knee injury. Grant may not have started the season as the starter but he’s proven to be a quality player. Must be nice to have a guy come off the bench and give you an ORtg of 118, rebound, block, and score.

Bench:
#12 Baye Keita (6-10 220 SR), #0 Michael Gbinije (6-7 200 SO), #21 Tyler Roberson (6-8 212 FR)

All are good rebounders and Keita is a shot blocker. We’re likely to see more of Keita and Gbinije than Roberson.

Keys to the Pack winning:

Three things the Pack must do differently to have a chance at winning:

1. Defensive Rebounding. Limit their second chances due to fewer possessions.
2. Get to the FT Line and make a high percentage of them.
3. Make a high percentage of 3’s to give Warren room to move inside.

Bonus Key: Guards handle the pressure and not turn the ball over.

Magic Number: 65
NC State is 15-3 when they score 65 or more points this season.
Syracuse has only allowed 6 teams to score 65 or more points this season.

Another Magic Number: 25
NC State is 8-0 when TJ Warren scores 25 or more points this season.

One More Magic Number: 50
NC State is 9-0 when they shoot 50% or better.

Series Notes:

NC State is 1-4 against Syracuse

12/4/90 #4 Syracuse 86, NC State 79 (at Syracuse)
2/3/01 #12 Syracuse 54, NC State 53 (at PNC)
12/8/01 NC State 82, #9 Syracuse 68 (at Syracuse)
2/13/11 #8 Syracuse 65, NC State 59 (at Syracuse)
12/17/12 #1 Syracuse 88, NC State 72 (at PNC)

Fun Facts

– NC State has an 8-0 record when shooting the same number or more free throws than its opponents.
– State is 7-1 when making the same or more foul shots.
– State is 15-1 when it shoots better/same as opponent.

ADVANTAGES

I’m still waiting on this “improvement” to show up so I don’t have to keep seeing all these facepalms. Pack Offense vs. Orange Defense, will the Pack turn Syracuse’s Zone into Sunny D or will the Tropicana Concentrate shutdown anything the Pack has?

DE-FEN-SIVE RE-BOUND-ING. I’ll keep saying this until I’m blue in the face or until someone on the coaching staff realizes it’s killing us. The one stat I’ll be looking at to measure our chances. If the Pack’s offense can overcome the zone then defensive rebounding will likely be the deciding factor in the game.

PREDICTOR

Vegas likes Syracuse by 14. KenPom likes the Orange by 15 and gives State a 7% chance at winning.

About 1.21 Jigawatts

Class of '98, Mechanical Engineer, State fan since arriving on campus and it's been a painful ride ever since. I live by the Law of NC State Fandom, "For every Elation there is an equal and opposite Frustration."

13-14 Basketball

Home Forums NC STATE at SYRACUSE Preview

Viewing 25 posts - 26 through 50 (of 404 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #40743
    Fastback68
    Participant

    CBS schedule had Pitt vs UNX preceding this game. As a result, I had given up watching the first half of the State game knowing full well it takes 40-45 extra minutes for UNX to shoot 60 FTA and to review every one of Pitt’s fouls for flagrancy. Thanks for the 7:00pm switch news flash.

    #40744
    Wufpacker
    Participant

    Halftime of the UVa/Clemson game, I start flipping channels and land on CBS where Roy is blowing sunshine up Bill Raftery’s ass.

    To quote a good friend of mine….jesuschristinasidecar.

    #40747
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    Clempson hanging around in Upset territory… down 2 with 5 minutes left in the game against the ‘Hoos….

    Holes getting the whistles at home v. Pitt… but their free throwing shooting is worse than ours…. down 4 with 5 left in the first…

    It’s gonna be a good day for roundball…

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #40751
    Fastback68
    Participant

    UVA shaves points, still win. Sorry Clemp.

    #40755
    1.21 Jigawatts
    Keymaster

    mithrandir11,

    Any problems with the dates are thanks to GoPack.com, they came straight from the Game Notes they provided.

    #40758
    WolfWiz11
    Participant

    Ahhh no harm, no foul. I just remember being so excited thinking we were gonna get the come-from-behind win. I do think we are due for an upset, bringing your every elation begetting an equal and opposite frustration saying to fruition. Hoping our boys rise to the occasion, with the national spotlight surrounding Boeheim and Cuse.

    #40766
    doug
    Participant

    What channel is game on Direct tv. ? Please help.

    #40767
    doug
    Participant

    I am in Memphis what channel on direct t? Please help.

    #40769
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    Keys to the game…

    1. Our kids are prepared to handle 30,000 plus…
    cold, rowdy Western New Yorkers with no better place to go…

    2. We play the best game of the season….

    NO ANTHONY on 3,4 or 5…
    Tyler gets some help on D…
    BIGS are BIG
    CUZ rises to the occasion…
    Two of our other kids “surprise” a lot of people !

    and

    3. The Big Orange SUCKS for forty minutes….

    AND MOST IMPORTANT OF ALL…

    4. Wufpacker is right !!!!

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #40770
    Rick
    Keymaster

    The us spanked Russia Thai. I am assuming that is the only Win I get to enjoy today.

    #40772
    TheAliasTroll
    Participant

    Rick have you started blaming the refs yet for what we’re all about to experience?

    #40773
    Rick
    Keymaster

    The keys to the game?

    We gonna lose

    #40774
    Wufpacker
    Participant

    4. Wufpacker is right !!!!

    First time for everything. Don’t bet the house though.

    #40775
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    … twerps, as expected, are leaving it ALL on the floor over in Cameron…

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #40777
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    ohai, guys!

    Who’s going to just dark humor-ly enjoy the carnage, and who will re-arrange deck chairs on the Titanic?

    My only contribution to category two is more KH. Let ’em have a few bruises to remember us by.

    #40779
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    4. Wufpacker is right !!!!

    First time for everything. Don’t bet the house though.

    We are ALL counting on you WUF… especially me and Mr. Dog….

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #40780
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    One possession, three shots. LOL

    #40782
    Rick
    Keymaster

    Three shots. Going to be a long game

    #40783
    TheAliasTroll
    Participant

    i’m about to turn this off and watch season #2 of house of cards

    #40784
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    No spoilers, Wuf is still burning through S1.

    #40785
    Wufpacker
    Participant

    Some of us are still working on season one Troll, so no spoilers dammit.

    #40786
    Rick
    Keymaster

    Wbs starting

    #40787
    TheAliasTroll
    Participant

    KDub has them old school moves

    #40788
    Wufpacker
    Participant

    Whoa, that was an ugly 3 attempt by Buckets.

    #40789
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    … anybody got a link for the live stream ??

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
Viewing 25 posts - 26 through 50 (of 404 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.