Archive for the 'Stat of the Day' Category

UNC - By the Numbers

Let’s look at some objective evidence to see if we can figure out why Vegas has the Heels as a 12.5 point favorite. Here are a few tables summarizing the national rankings to see how the two offenses match up against the two defenses:

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I first started looking at the relevant stats when one of our readers commented that UNC was living and dying with turnovers. As the two highlighted numbers show, the UNC scoring offense and defense rankings are not in line with the other key stat categories. UNC currently ranks 8th in the nation in turnover margin which pretty well explains this discrepancy.

Next year’s 12th football game

At the risk of over-stating the obvious - next year is a very important year for the NC State Football program and every single leader with any type of influence over the direction of the football program. Unless the Wolfpack can string together four consecutive wins to close out the 2008 season, the program is heading for a 4th losing season in the last five years - all under the ‘leadership’ of Athletics Director, Lee Fowler.

To offer some historical perspective on this - NC State has experienced four losing seasons in a five year period only three times since the formation of the Atlantic Coast Conference in 1953..

Tarheels seek elusive road victory tonight

UNC-Chapel Hill’s overhyped 2008 football team travels to Rutgers tonight to battle the Scarlet Knights on ESPN. Although the ACC needs any and every win that we can get…the Tarheels really need this one in order to give them a

As the News & Observer highlighted earlier in the week - Carolina hasn’t won a football game beyond the borders of North Carolina in over five and a half years.

Carolina has not won outside the state since its 38-35 victory at Arizona State on Oct. 5, 2002, a span of 20 games.

Hoping to keep the dominance alive

The last time that NC State and South Carolina played each other in football, the Wolfpack won.

The last time that NC State and South Carolina played each other in basketball, the Wolfpack won.

The last time that NC State and South Carolina played each other in baseball, the Wolfpack won.

Tonight the Wolfpack tries to extend its dominance over former conference brethren to the South.

There are two popular theories for why charter member South Carolina left the ACC after the 1970-71 school year.

Don’t Forget the Defense

I’m sure that come Thursday night/Friday morning, Russell Wilson and State’s offense will fill up a lot of message board posts (regardless of the results on the field). And that’s OK, but let’s not forget about the poor performances from State’s defense last year. Ken Tysiac summarized the 2007 defense several weeks ago (and I don’t think that we talked about it here).

Nobody in the ACC forced fewer turnovers last season than N.C. State’s 16.

The Wolfpack ranked last in the ACC in rushing defense and 11th in total defense and scoring defense.

Stat of the Day - BBall SOS

Did you know that the average out of conference strength of the schedule for the past six college basketball national champions is 150?

The State of State Part Five - ACC Rankings (Bar Graphs Galore)

How do NC State’s ACC winning percentages and conference finishes compare to the other schools in the conference during Lee Fowler’s tenure as AD from 2000-01 to 2007-08? Below are winning percentage statistics in ACC play for the 13 sports that have win/loss records and average finish for the 8 sports that do not have win/loss records.

Notes:
• These stats are ONLY for the 21 ACC sports in which NC State competes. They do not include ACC sports in which State does not have a program (lacrosse, field hockey, rowing) or non-ACC sports (gymnastics, rifle).

We’re #56!!! NCSU finishes 53rd of 66 BCS Schools (must be the ‘fuhcilities’)

The final ‘all-sports’ intercollegiate Directors Cup for 2007-2008 has been released and is accessible by clicking here. (Looks like Lee Fowler’s second embarrassment in one day.)

NC State didn’t obtain extra credit for our great ‘fuhcilities’ or our fantastic fans and therefore finished the year ranked 56th in the country and next to last in the Atlantic Coast Conference, besting private institution Boston College.

The State of State Part Four - AD Battle Royale

In previous entries, several commenters had expressed an interest in some historical statistics for comparison purposes. Below are some conference title and winning percentage stats over the last 22 years for the past five Athletic Directors at NC State.

Notes:
• For the 1989-90 season, Jim Valvano was AD until October, Harold Hopfenburg was interim AD until April when Todd Turner was hired. For this analysis, since he was AD for the majority of the season, Hopfenburg will be considered the AD of record for 1989-90.

• ACC championship stats are only for the 20 sports in which all 5 ADs fielded teams (Softball is excluded).

NBA Draft Picks by ACC School (1988-2007)

Since we are in the middle of the NBA Championship series…and the Tim Donaghy mess…and JJ Hickson’s inevitable departure to the NBA draft…

…I thought that it was an appropriate time to share the following stat of the day.

ACC Schools by number of NBA Draft selections since 1988
(1) Duke - 28
(2) North Carolina - 22
(3) Georgia Tech - 20
(4) Maryland - 16
(5) NC State - 10
(6) Florida State - 9
(7) Wake Forest - 7
(8) Boston College - 7
(9) Miami - 7
(10) Clemson - 6
(11) Virginia - 4
(12) Virginia Tech - 2

The State of State Part Three–Meet The Standards

“My goals have always been to be in the top three in the conference. If you’re in the top three you always have a chance to win the championship. That’s an obvious goal as well. Minimum goals, we don’t want to be in the bottom-half of anything.. the bottom-half in any sport.”
–Lee Fowler, PackPride.com, 5-22-08

“Our minimum should be middle of the conference, not last in the league”
–Lee Fowler, Technician, 8-31-07

These statements lead to three questions.

The State of State Part Two–Improvement

Disclaimer: Only facts and statistics will be stated below, you the reader can draw your own conclusions and opinions.

Did NC State’s athletic programs make progress and do better this school year than they did last year? One metric (and certainly not the only one) is to look at regular season conference standings.

State competes in 21 different ACC sports plus gymnastics (EAGL) and rifle (SEARC & GARC). In the 2007-2008 school year, 6 out of those 23 programs finished higher in their conference standings than they did the year before, 11 finished worse and 6 maintained the same standing. All 12 ACC schools compete in the sport unless indicated.

The State of State Part One — Overall ACC Records

Disclaimer: Only facts and statistics will be stated below, you the reader can draw your own conclusions and opinions.

Listed below are the overall ACC records for NC State’s team sports (teams that have a won-loss record) for the eight year time span Lee Fowler has been AD (2000-01 to 2007-08).

Revenue Sports
• Football: 28-36 (.438)
• M Basketball: 60-68 (.469)
• W Basketball: 63-57 (.525)
• Baseball: 109-104 (.512)

Both of the high profile revenue sports, Football and M Basketball, have losing records in ACC play.

Both W Basketball and Baseball have winning records in ACC play.

Late pushes fall flat for Pack; Baseball represents last hope

After failed attempts to garner some kind of notable success by a couple of NC State’s non-revenue sports fell flat this week (men’s golf and women’s softball), NC State’s Baseball team remains as the last primary opportunity for Lee Fowler’s athletics department to do something special and win a “major” ACC Championship.

It is something that hasn’t happened at NC State in a LONG time. And, as you will see from the statistics below it is something that hasn’t happened at NC State in far too long when compared to other programs throughout the country.

NCAA & ACC Championships since 2000

The table below that can be seen in larger a format by clicking here ranks Atlantic Coast Conference institutions by the number of ACC Championships claimed since 2000 (the year that Lee Fowler came to NC State). Additionally, the italicized numbers in parantheses is the rank for each school in the designated column. For example, NC State ranks 12th (last) in number of National Championships and 9th (last of pre-expansion ACC schools) in number of different sports in which we have won an ACC Championship.

ACC & NCAA Titles

Some following notes &; bytes:

ACC Championship Weekend yields no titles for Pack

The Atlantic Coast Conference hosted a series of Championships this weekend that provided 33% of Atlantic Coast Conference members an ACC Championship when:

* Florida State won its FIRST men’s golf championship

* Virginia won men’s tennis

* Clemson won the women’s tennis championship

* Duke won women’s golf

Additionally, we haven’t yet taken the opportunity to congratulate Boston College for claiming their National Championship in men’s hockey last week. We had a fantastic conversation about BC’s “Frozen Four” that you should read in this entry. Some great conversation in the comments section.

Why would LSU choose Joe Alleva over Lee Fowler?

Alleva v Fowler1

Lee Fowler’s interest in other Athletics Director jobs have not been a secret since his arrival in Raleigh in September of 2000. In the seven-plus years of Fowler’s tenure, the man that likes to be referred to as “Coach” has expressed interest and interviewed for multiple jobs of all shapes and sizes.

Congratulations Eagles! Ouch Wolfpack!

BC Eagles

StateFansNation would like to shout out a congratulations to our conference bretheren in Chestnut Hill as the Boston College Eagles have advanced to their third consecutive Frozen Four, hockey’s version of Final Four’.

Although many in the north - including a lot of the BC students - are more interested in hockey than basketball, I translate this into the equivalent of advancing to three straight College World Series in baseball (which is something that the UNC-CH Tar Heels may achieve this year).

2008 Bubble Thoughts

There have been some interesting comments made about the Bubble this year that need to be saved for future reference. Plus Alpha/RAWFS has fixed it so I can use tables again….so here goes a little supplemental information about this year’s marginal selections/snubs:

Let’s start with some tables that go pretty well with a commentary from last week:

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My tables were updated from last year’s entry so the parsing is slightly different from Jeff’s…but the tables do a good job at highlighting the key points from that commentary. The bottom line is that RPI ranking is an easy first cut at where teams from BCS conferences stand with the NCAAT Selection Committee.

RPI-ology

Earlier this year I made the mistake of allowing myself to get sucked into a ‘hypothetical’ conversation about NC State’s chances of making the NCAA Tournament. At the time our Wolfpack was tracking in the 30s and 40s of the RPI and I was trying to use facts and statistics to de-bunk ridiculous statements and incorrect conclusions being spread on the internet by your typical nameless, faceless, uninformed fan.