Sports Illustrated‘s Stewart Mandel re-visits a host of scandal-ridden programs who are trying to put their programs back together two years after some serious problems. It is an interesting read that I thought that I would share.
In more current news from the same source, Seth Davis does a GREAT job of explaining the current nature of “Bubbleology” updated for March 1st.
I very much like Davis’ approach to breaking down the Field of 65- as opposed to trying to project a field (with a week of the regular season remaining), Davis ranks the current position of the teams on the Bubble based on “Flights”. His approach includes the following:
=> 41 Bids Accounted; 24 Remain
* 27 teams, representing nine conferences, will be in the tournament regardless if they lose every game remaining in the season.
* 14 leagues that will get only one bid no matter what
=> The Eight Wild Cards
* 8 conferences have an automatic bid plus a chance at some at-larges or two. Davis assumes that the current conference leaders win all eight of the league titles, 16 potential berths unclaimed.
* This is where the analysis turns sensitive. George Washington (Atlantic 10), Pacific (Big West), Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley) and Nevada (WAC) all have high probabilities of earning at-large berths if they do not win their respective confererence tournament championships. For everyone one of these teams that lose in their tournament, a potential at-large bid is reclaimed from the current pool of 16 remaining berths.
* Addtionally, Old Dominion (Colonial), Miami of Ohio (MAC), Davidson (Southern) and Vermont (America East) could potentially earn at-large bids if they lose in their conference tournaments…but it would be a little more challenging than the aforementioned teams.
* Andy Katz of ESPN highlights “What to Watch” in some of these conference tournaments.
=> 24 Fighting for 16 (or Less)
* 24 teams currently remain for the unclaimed 16 berths.
* These 24 teams are not guaranteed an at-large bid should they lose the rest of their games. Others would have to win everything until the conference tournament final to be considered.
* To account for the different potential scenarios, Davis segments his bubble into four “flights” that lists each team in order of strength.
* Again, assuming all eight wild cards win their league tournaments and no at-large berths are claimed by mid-majors that deserve at-large bids, only the teams in the D flight would currently be out.
* If you look at the last few teams in Flight C, you may be surprised who’s in the tournament if today were Selection Sunday.
I’ll stop there and you can check out how the chips fall by visiting the article.